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Analizing one villan for exploitation.

  
 
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celtic123
Old 09-11-2010, 04:42 PM     Post subject: Analizing one villan for exploitation. #1 (permalink)  
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Im a Poker player, no more, no less (Mental State).

At the moment , I’m studying one regular to see If I can exploit him. I cant get much out of him and I want more.

Stats :



Hes 15/6 over 530.
Cbet 80% (12 from 15)
fold to a Cbet 75% (9 from 12),
3bets 2% (2 from 86) the one 3 bet I saw was QQ in the SB against a loose calling station.
Attempt to steal blinds 11% , fold to a blind steal 100%



Notes :

UTG 4xbb KK , AQ o
3bet in the SB QQ
UTG LIMP 33, 99
4xbb raise 99 ,2 off button , flop QJ5 mono , checked every street when not improved.
limp utg KhQs, btn raises5xbb. flat calls, FLop 9 T Jr , checked , his made hand, button raised, he stacked him.

Summary .

I can 3 bet and steal for for profit.
He varies his pre-flop actions .
Its easy to put him on a range.
He multi tables and seems to play fit or fold.

Im giving him a lot of off table attention to help improve my game.

Am I overlooking anything that could be exploitable?
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oskar
Old 09-11-2010, 06:03 PM #2 (permalink)  
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iso his limps relentlessly when you're otb. - almost atc will do - depending on the blinds.

The fold-to-3b looks like a sample error, unless he's really only calling with AA.

You really want to be two seats to his left or right because he will let you have your blinds and not defend steals.

I wouldn't mess with such tight ranges too much. It looks like he's folding the nuts to any sort of agression, but it's a small sample.
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Imthenewfish
Old 09-11-2010, 09:54 PM #3 (permalink)  
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This is full ring right?
-yes you can steal from him a lot, but when hes opening such a tight range his fold to pf 3b stats are prolly really scewed so I dont think you should start 3betting him that light yet.
-Not really sure what you mean by he varies his preflop actions.
-It should be easy to put him on a range because it's so small.
-I think that you should be analyzing a better(?) reg
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Pelion
Old 09-12-2010, 02:43 PM #4 (permalink)  
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He really just looks like a guy you want to hammer relentlessly in small pots and get out of the way as soon as he looks like he's "playing back". I'd also call his raises with things like 67s in position if we get 200bbs deep or a couple of others callers before me. I'd pay attention to how he plays against floats. If he tends to fire once and c/f you can call a lot in position. If he tends to barrel or c/c turns then just make hands against him. You aren't going to make much from this guy though. Just make sure you don't lose much to him either. I definitly wouldnt be 3betting him light. Too much of his range is going to be AA-JJ/ AK.
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