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AK oop in 3b pot, monochrome flop

  
 
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knaplek
Old 03-07-2010, 05:37 PM     Post subject: AK oop in 3b pot, monochrome flop #1 (permalink)  
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Posts: 78
knaplek
Villain is a reg who calls 3bets kind of light and is capable of light 3betting himself. We have a bit of history and he probably sees me as pretty aggressive, although I doubt he expects me to be bluffing much preflop in this spot. I nearly checked and gave up on this flop, but decided to take this line instead. Is this just spew or does anyone like it?

Texas Hold'em No limit (€0.10/€0.20)
UTG (€6.93)
Villain (€35.65)
Button (€28.88)
SB (€19.50)
Hero (20.80)

dealt to hero AcKh

1 fold, Villain raises to €0.80, Button calls, SB calls, hero raises to €3.80, Villain calls, 2 folds.

Flop: Qs 6s 2s (€9.20)

Hero bets €4.00
Villain calls

Turn: 10h (€17.20)

Hero bets €13.00 (all in)
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spoonitnow
Old 03-07-2010, 06:06 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 What do you think his range is on the turn and what part of that range folds?
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knaplek
Old 03-07-2010, 07:02 PM #3 (permalink)  
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knaplek
I think his range on the turn is approximately:

AsQx (3), KQ (4 discounted from 9) , QJ (4 dcf 12) JJ (6) 1010 (3) 99 (6) 88 (4 dcf 6) 77 (2 dcf 6), AxKs (1 dcf 2), Made flushes (2). Total of 35 combos, expect him to fold about 20 or so, plus have a little bit of equity vs his calling range making the turn bet good. I was pretty confident about that once he called flop, I'm really more interested in the flop action.
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