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AA, ugly flop, tough turn

  
 
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drtofu66
Old 06-04-2006, 05:47 AM     Post subject: AA, ugly flop, tough turn #1 (permalink)  
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drtofu66
10NL Boss. Roughly 100BB stacks all around

I get dealt AA in the SB.

3 limpers when it gets to me. I raise to $0.70. BB calls, CO calls, rest fold.

Pot ~$2.50. 3 players.
Flop KTQ rainbow.

I bet $1.90 (what would you have done here?). Both call.

Pot $8.20. I have $7 left at this point. BB has a little more (maybe $10), CO has $8 left.

Turn is A, completes rainbow.

This is either a push or check/fold. I don't quite have the odds to chase the FH-- 3.6:1 to fill up and I'm getting 3.1:1 if they both call. Does the possibility that I'm just up against 2 pair make up the odds to make this an ok push?
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TLR
Old 06-04-2006, 02:13 PM #2 (permalink)  
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TLR is an unknown quantity at this point
You played it fine preflop and on the flop.
The fact that both call is wierd, you expect most none J hands to either raise or fold.
I check the turn, and see the action, I think I am calling one AI but not 2


 
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drtofu66
Old 06-04-2006, 07:23 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TLR
I think I am calling one AI but not 2
??

Why only call one and not 2 pushes? Anyone that pushes has the straight already (maybe they both hold a J), so we're going to need to hit our FH to make this hand worthwile. And if we do river one of our 10 outs, why not get paid 3:1 instead of 2:1?
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TLR
Old 06-05-2006, 05:12 AM #4 (permalink)  
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I would say at this level somebody pushing is about 50% likely to hold a J and about 50% likely to hold 2 pair or a lower set


 
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