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AA, OOP versus a solid player

  
 
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Nakamura
Old 07-15-2009, 10:09 AM     Post subject: AA, OOP versus a solid player #1 (permalink)  
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Do I need to bet-fold the turn here? My play feels very weak-tight, but I feel very exploitable by betting OOP on the turn.

Villain seems solid, running at 13/10/3.0 over about 40 hands. I don't have any specific notes on this player and he has not yet been c-bet into, so there are no response to c-bet stats. Given his PF play, a set seems his most likely holding.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($5.05)
Hero (SB) ($12.05)
BB ($6)
UTG ($14.60)
UTG+1 ($10)
MP1 ($10.25)
MP2 ($2)
CO ($9.75)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, A
UTG calls $0.10, 4 folds, Button calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.40, Button calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.60) 6, 5, 4 (3 players)
Hero bets $1.10, UTG calls $1.10, 1 fold

Turn: ($3.80) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

River: ($6.80) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $3.50, Hero folds

Total pot: $6.80 | Rake: $0.30
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Lucothefish
Old 07-15-2009, 10:12 AM #2 (permalink)  
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what am I missing here?
<@d0zer> how will you learn if I don't berate you harshly?
 
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Old 07-15-2009, 10:15 AM #3 (permalink)  
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that's a sick fold
I probably tell myself I need to win 25% of the time and call him down
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Nakamura
Old 07-15-2009, 10:39 AM #4 (permalink)  
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So checking the turn > betting the turn? why?
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Muzzard
Old 07-15-2009, 12:48 PM #5 (permalink)  
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b/f turn prob vs this guy.

As played I c/c river as the 6 was a good card, it means he flops less sets.
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Illfavor
Old 07-15-2009, 01:23 PM #6 (permalink)  
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This depends a lot on what you think his UTG limping range is. It probably has a lor of 22-55 in it, and he might peel w/33 making us even money vs. a likely continuing range. B/f the turn.

Yes, this was very weaktight imo. Honestly, he called the flop bet and you shut down with an overpair?
Ich grolle nicht...
 
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