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AA facing raise on a wet flop (10NL)

  
 
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miracleriver
Old 11-13-2009, 03:48 PM     Post subject: AA facing raise on a wet flop (10NL) #1 (permalink)  
Straight

Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 173
miracleriver
Villain is 12/0/1 over 26 hands. He is a silver star which, at 10NL, means he's somewhat of a regular.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($9.85)
SB ($6.50)
BB ($11)
UTG ($9.90)
Hero (MP1) ($10)
MP2 ($10.80)
CO ($18.10)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, A
UTG calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.45, 1 fold, UTG calls $0.40

Flop: ($2.10) K, 8, 10 (4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1.50, MP2 raises to $3.50, 2 folds, Hero ???

I figure his range to be something like AK,T8,TT,88,QhJh,Jh9h,9h7h. Is this range reasonable? Including non-flush straight draws doesn't change my equity all that much. Excluding AK, however, does. Should AK be in there?

With the range as assigned, a shove is +EV, right?
 
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Vinland
Old 11-13-2009, 04:11 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Posts: 610
Vinland is an unknown quantity at this point
 you can prob take T8, 97 and possibly J9 from his range. I doubt he calls pre with that...
I confess in quicksand
 
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Hoopy
Old 11-13-2009, 04:25 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Riverballs
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Hoopy is an unknown quantity at this point
 If he's passive pre flop then yes AK can be in that range, add in KQ as well. On the flop do you know anymore more about this guy's tendencies, will he stack off with just a king?

I'd shove here, like to hear what others think though.
 
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