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AA @ 25NL FR

  
 
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!Luck
Old 02-15-2010, 07:26 PM     Post subject: AA @ 25NL FR #1 (permalink)  
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 Villain 23/0 over 93 hands.

Preflop Std.
Flop I tend to bet slightly more in this type of sitution like 3.1 instead of 2.75, not sure if it makes a large difference.

Villain Range Preflop is : Axs+,22+,any connected braodway or more succinctly :
22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,54s,43s ,32s,AJo+,KQo, though 32-45 may not bet there. I have yet to see him raise so he may actually never rise or more likely he just hasn't had the opportunity, but to keep this conservative I let AA and other top tier hands be in his range. Comments on this point appreciated.

His flop continuing range is A2dd+,AJo+,KQ,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,33,88,tt,jj+
His turn raising range must be something like KTs,A2dd,kk,33,88,tt,ako,aks, maybe kq of HH? though doubtful. Against this range i have 34.8% or 1.87 odds he is laying me 1.77 so it is a call, assuming my range is perfect.

What do you guys think?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 ($5.60)
CO ($35.20)
Button ($11.25)
SB ($12.05)
BB ($24.30)
UTG ($5)
UTG+1 ($10.40)
MP1 ($24.35)
Hero (MP2) ($37.90)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, A
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.25, Hero bets $1.25, 1 fold, CO calls $1.25, 3 folds, MP1 calls $1

Flop: ($4.10) 8, 10, 3 (3 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $2.75, CO calls $2.75, 1 fold

Turn: ($9.60) K (2 players)
Hero bets $6, CO raises to $31.20 (All-In) HERO WTF???
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kiwiMark
Old 02-15-2010, 07:39 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 I don't know if he flats his A high flush draws and then shoves the turn, so for that reason this is probably a fold on the turn for me. I'd also bet both the flop and turn bigger.
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Micro2Macro
Old 02-15-2010, 07:52 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 I would never expect AK/KQ to raise the turn nor peel flop given villain and his relative position (pure floats would only be done by the absolute loosest players here).

If he's a crazier, lag donk type then yeah I can see it.

You're super crushed here like 99% of the time, FOLD.
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al yell
Old 02-15-2010, 07:57 PM #4 (permalink)  
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 Unless I have some reason to believe he's spazzing out w/top pair I just "lol fold" and move on.
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Jason
Old 02-15-2010, 08:04 PM #5 (permalink)  
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 I'd fold. You're most likely beat by a pocket pair that got a set on the flop although I think it is certainly possible that you're getting pushed off your hand with AK or a flush or str8 draw but more often you're drawing to 2 outs. All of this assume your image is isn't tarnished and your villain is just as passive post-flop as he or she is pre-flop.
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rong
Old 02-16-2010, 02:20 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kiwiMark
I don't know if he flats his A high flush draws and then shoves the turn, so for that reason this is probably a fold on the turn for me. I'd also bet both the flop and turn bigger.
I'd be inclined to make a pot sized bet with 2 callers, greater chace of someone having a draw that they are willing to pay for, and it builds a bigger pot. But I am only a 5nl player.
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hey guys, if you ever make a snap call on the river when your opponent raises you're fucking retarded.

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