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89s flops flush, facing reg turn shove - 25nl

  
 
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daven
Old 01-24-2012, 09:04 PM     Post subject: 89s flops flush, facing reg turn shove - 25nl #1 (permalink)  
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villain is chinese reg 16-12 over 200, folded to 2/8 flop cbets, won at 6/8 showdowns. The two flushes he has that beat me are KJ and JT. He beats AsKc, although i guess he could hold that himself. AQ? Sets? 76cc?

if it's relevant, i'm running 16-15-7 at this table and have been here with him about 90 hands.

does 2:1 make this trivial? or does a nit jamming the turn vs strength make it interesting?

$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
8 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($12.10)
hero (UTG+1) ($25)
MP1 ($30.13)
MP2 ($10.04)
CO ($13.25)
BTN ($36.29)
SB ($29.73)
BB ($8.37)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 8 players) hero is UTG+1
1 fold, hero raises to $0.85, 3 folds, BTN calls $0.85, SB calls $0.75, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($3.40, 4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, hero bets $2.80, BTN calls $2.80, SB folds, BB folds

Turn: ($9, 2 players)
hero bets $5.80, BTN raises to $27,
 
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kickass
Old 01-24-2012, 09:14 PM #2 (permalink)  
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What! Fuck folding if thats what your saying. Btw fold pre! He doesn't think you could hold a flush, cos you shouldnt be able to.
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daven
Old 01-24-2012, 09:17 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by kickass View Post
What! Fuck folding if thats what your saying. Btw fold pre! He doesn't think you could hold a flush, cos you shouldnt be able to.
kickass wins the thread within minutes of it being posted. I hadn't even thought of that while i was timebanking - cheers
 
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Necessary Evil
Old 01-24-2012, 09:27 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Damn, nice post, kickass.
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gingerwizard
Old 01-24-2012, 10:54 PM #5 (permalink)  
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What! Fuck folding if thats what your saying. Btw fold pre! He doesn't think you could hold a flush, cos you shouldnt be able to.
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Micro2Macro
Old 01-25-2012, 12:37 AM #6 (permalink)  
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I would never open fold this hand preflop on any random table at ssnl
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rpm
Old 01-25-2012, 05:00 AM #7 (permalink)  
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yah opening this is fine. call turn because there are only 4 flushes in his range (at most) which beat us, and he can have sets which "played it safe" on the mono flop and are now going crazy on a blank turn
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daven
Old 01-25-2012, 05:56 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Micro2Macro View Post
I would never open fold this hand preflop on any random table at ssnl
interesting. I fold 89s quite often from this position, probably not a huge leak? I feel like i open too many scs from ep, but maybe that isn't really the case. Off to look at HEM. Where it appears that from both ep and mp I'm opening 67s-TJs 50%, c-betting them 60% and breakeven over the process. Guess I don't fold them as often as I thought.

Looks like i don't play them that well vs 3bets though? 67% fold, 14% 4b, 19% call
 
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bigspenda73
Old 01-25-2012, 06:02 AM #9 (permalink)  
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folding 89s from UTG+1 cannot be a leak

however, the leak could possibly be your reasoning behind not playing it
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thelorax
Old 01-25-2012, 06:17 AM #10 (permalink)  
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i think pre is meh.
im not folding cause lots of his range that were ahead of plays like this etc...


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Roid_Rage
Old 01-25-2012, 06:39 AM #11 (permalink)  
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kickass
Old 01-25-2012, 05:55 PM #12 (permalink)  
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however, the leak could possibly be your reasoning behind not playing it
hey spenda would you mind expanding on this? or if anyone else understands it and wouldnt mind enlightening me that would be sweet.
put your glasses back on
 
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bikes
Old 01-25-2012, 06:25 PM #13 (permalink)  
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this is probably a fold. i also strongly disagree with the 'you shouldnt be able to have a flush' idea because it's wrong.
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daven
Old 01-25-2012, 06:47 PM #14 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by bikes View Post
this is probably a fold. i also strongly disagree with the 'you shouldnt be able to have a flush' idea because it's wrong.
cheers for the post bikes.

how about if this statement was replaced with something like 'flushes are only a small subset of my range at the point where he raises the turn'?

it's interesting - I mean, i obviously can have a flush because I do have a flush. What flushes are realistically in my range? I guess KJcc, J9cc, JTcc, T9cc, 98cc, 87cc (although discount some cos these are folded by most players a reasonable % from UTG+1). Rest of my range for calling his jam (i'm pretty sure his jam is value) is AA/QQ/AQ?/AxKc?/ATs - but calling ATs here would be bad, which is worth noticing.

What's his range for jamming that beats me? KJcc (discounted), JTcc is pretty much it. What else could he be jamming here? AA (discounted), QQ, 66, AQ, AxKc. Maybe some baby flushes, 76cc/65cc
do you think these ranges are about right? or am i being very optimistic here?
 
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Old 01-25-2012, 07:38 PM #15 (permalink)  
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this is probably a fold. i also strongly disagree with the 'you shouldnt be able to have a flush' idea because it's wrong.
I was bemused by that too.
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kickass
Old 01-25-2012, 08:02 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by daven View Post
What's his range for jamming that beats me? KJcc (discounted), JTcc is pretty much it. What else could he be jamming here? AA (discounted), QQ, 66, AQ, AxKc. Maybe some baby flushes, 76cc/65cc
do you think these ranges are about right? or am i being very optimistic here?
he cant have 6c its on the board.
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baudib
Old 01-25-2012, 08:32 PM #17 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daven View Post
What else could he be jamming here? AA (discounted), QQ, 66, AQ, AxKc. Maybe some baby flushes, 76cc/65cc
do you think these ranges are about right? or am i being very optimistic here?
I think his most likely hand is KcJx.
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bigspenda73
Old 01-25-2012, 09:52 PM #18 (permalink)  
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hey spenda would you mind expanding on this? or if anyone else understands it and wouldnt mind enlightening me that would be sweet.
I mean if you're just folding it because some PF chart tells you to do so, then yea, you should just play blackjack. If you're folding b/c you have loose aggressive players in position behind you that will make life difficult, then cool. If there are tight players in LP and bad players in the blinds, then I'm opening this and expecting to play post-flop in position against bad players with a hand that flops nicely.
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kickass
Old 01-25-2012, 10:32 PM #19 (permalink)  
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I see, thank you Monsieur spenda. Much apreciated even if you do advise me to go play blackjack.
put your glasses back on
 
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Old 01-26-2012, 09:59 PM     Post subject: pigs xxx or amateur milf sluts #20 (permalink)  
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Old 01-26-2012, 10:35 PM     Post subject: My shitty life #21 (permalink)  
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Im 30 years old. My father was an alcoholic and my mother was a huge bitch. She hired some whore babysitter who locked me in the bedroom so she could molest my brother. Or so he tells me because I blocked it out, he then molested me and never explained or talked about the situation later in life. I doubt hes any better. hes the sucessfull one, ironically. After dad left. I had to babysit my little sister and brother who are like 12 years younger than me, so they were babies, litterally. We lived in a slum, my mom was working 3-11 no parents kids dragged my baby brother and sister on the ground cuz they were the only white people, had rocks thrown at outr windows lead poisioned wated and roaches and rats no hot water or heat, no nice clothes. i didnt get paid or even appreciated.
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some kid threw his dog in the trash, he fought him and it was him who went to jail not the kid who tried to kill a puppy by throwing it away live in a dumpster when it was in his care.
I HAVE FUCKING SOCIAL ANXIETY AND IT MAKES ME TALK OUTLOAD, I say what people expect the worse thing possible, thats what they want right. Im the queen of self sabotage.
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