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5nl: AQ facing raise on a wet flop in a vacuum
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nish81
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02-12-2010, 10:15 PM
Post subject: 5nl: AQ facing raise on a wet flop in a vacuum
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 295
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i'm back, with a brand new hand 
so i had to play this hand in a complete vacuum - literally villain's second hand at the table, and he folded the first pf..
I'd guess that he'd call a preflop raise with something like 66+, A9s+, ATo+, KT+, QT+, and maybe like 87s-JTs
the flop raise is where i take a step back, because i rarely see villains raising flops in the micros, and a lot of his range hits this flop for 2pr/set. if we consider that he might raise with some pair+draw type hands, i could give him: KK-99,AQs+,ATs,KTs+,Q9s+,JTs,AJo,KJo+,QTo+
(i left in AQ for TPTK raise possibly)
i have 59% against this range, so i could easily call the flop raise.
but, i'm oop with no reads or stats at all on this guy, so i dont know if i want to play three streets with TPTK on such a wet board. i mean, with such a wide variety of players, i might check a blank turn and he could possibly bet with all his range. and there's quite a few turns I don't like, so i'm inclined to fold the flop for this reason.
but i do have decent pot odds here and im even ahead of the flop raising range i gave him..so maybe i should have called?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($2.24)
Button ($4.73)
SB ($6.02)
BB ($5)
Hero (UTG) ($5.58)
UTG+1 ($9.12)
MP1 ($5.46)
MP2 ($8.53)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q , A
Hero bets $0.20, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.20, 5 folds
Flop: ($0.47) Q , 10 , 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.40, MP1 raises to $0.90, ??
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<JustinSKS> Tha'ts why I fold my 33 to 72o, because 7 high beats, 1 pair, donk.
JR: lets do it JUAN
JR: mono e mono
JR: man to man
JR: HU4ROLLZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
Dealer: juan0984 folds
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acoss3006
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welcome back!
I dont hate calling here. But I think OOP against an unknown villian, and given the threat of future bets, I prefer folding.
Good to see your thinking hard about hands and what may happen on future streets.
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nish81
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Flush
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 295
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thank you for the welcome, and thank you for the advice
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<JustinSKS> Tha'ts why I fold my 33 to 72o, because 7 high beats, 1 pair, donk.
JR: lets do it JUAN
JR: mono e mono
JR: man to man
JR: HU4ROLLZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
Dealer: juan0984 folds
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!Luck
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Under a bridge
Posts: 1,367
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The thing is if you call the flop raise you basically need to commit. The board is relatively dry, so I am tempted to fold, even though you may have the best hand.
You have 2 more streets that you have to "live" through both of them you are out of position, so his rage might as well mean an all in....
!luck
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