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4NL trips on nightmare board

  
 
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Freeroller
Old 06-22-2009, 12:38 AM     Post subject: 4NL trips on nightmare board #1 (permalink)  

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good fold or too nitty? is the river an easy call here?

Villiain is 45/17/3.60 over 100+ hands.

This is always a straight here, right? and never a missed flush draw/Thigh.... feel like i should've made a crying call on river now.

Boss Media (IPN) No-Limit Hold'em, $0.04 BB (5 handed) - BossMedia Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($4.81)
Hero (MP) ($6.24)
Button ($0.92)
BB ($1.81)
UTG ($7.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 6, 6
1 fold, Hero calls $0.04, 1 fold, SB calls $0.04, BB checks

Flop: ($0.12) 8, 7, 6 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.09, SB calls $0.09, 1 fold

Turn: ($0.30) 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($0.30) 2 (2 players)
SB bets $0.30, Hero folds

Total pot: $0.30 | Rake: $0.03
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JoeHaw
Old 06-22-2009, 01:02 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Looks fine to me. You didn't give him the odds he needed so nothings wrong w the laydown.
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golfguy37
Old 06-22-2009, 01:05 AM #3 (permalink)  
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He could be bluffing the river on a busted flush draw. Other than that, you're probably beat. A small turn bet may have changed the outcome of the hand
 
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Old 06-22-2009, 05:50 AM #4 (permalink)  
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sometimes he has something like 56s and makes two pair on the river
but I doubt he would bet it
so it basically comes down to whether he would value bet worse or whether he bluffs a lot on this board
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nish81
Old 06-22-2009, 10:05 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I think i'd have bet the turn, but as played I think the only things you could beat were a busted flush/straight draw and two pair, or maybe a lower set.
<JustinSKS> Tha'ts why I fold my 33 to 72o, because 7 high beats, 1 pair, donk.

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Dealer: juan0984 folds
 
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Old 06-22-2009, 10:21 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by nish81
I think i'd have bet the turn, but as played I think the only things you could beat were a busted flush/straight draw and two pair, or maybe a lower set.
and get check/raised off our 11 outs?
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surviva316
Old 06-22-2009, 03:50 PM #7 (permalink)  
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 AF is 3.6 over 100 hands so i'm not gonna say he's "always" checking down the last two streets of a 4-straighted board with absolutely anything but a straight. he might assume that you are pretty much always betting the turn if you'd had the straight and figure he's gotta get value out of his 87s or AA eventually.

all that being said, he's only giving you 50% odds (less if you take rake into account), and without any further reads (which btw, you should have after 100+ hands with a 47/17 fish in 6-max 'cause he's probably shown down like 20 hands by now) there aren't nearly enough hands i can imagine being in his range (including bluffs) to make up for the straights.
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Old 06-22-2009, 05:29 PM #8 (permalink)  
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we only need to be good 33% of the time here, surviva our odds are not 50%
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surviva316
Old 06-22-2009, 06:23 PM #9 (permalink)  
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 fml i suck today lol. obv. you're right. our odds are 1:2, our probability is not 1 in 2
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