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2NL QQ versus flop agression

  
 
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Qminator
Old 09-21-2009, 09:45 AM     Post subject: 2NL QQ versus flop agression #1 (permalink)  
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Did i play this hand correctly? I honestly don't think i made the correct decisions. Villain is a 24/4/4.5 player. His agg. freq. on the flop is 85%. I didn't expect so many players would join in after my PF raise. The table was fairly tight.

$0.01/$0.02 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG INDIAN ZORRO ($1.11)
UTG+1 Frank_Timm ($0.71)
CO Hero ($3.06)
BTN KPERAHI ($0.75)
SB degirito87 ($5.30)
BB Chiptaker67 ($3.07)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03, 6 players) Hero is CO
INDIAN ZORRO calls $0.02, Frank_Timm calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.10, KPERAHI calls $0.10, degirito87 calls $0.09, Chiptaker67 calls $0.08, INDIAN ZORRO calls $0.08, Frank_Timm calls $0.08

Flop: ($0.60, 6 players)
degirito87 checks, Chiptaker67 bets $0.45, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, degirito87 folds, Chiptaker67 goes all-in $2.97, Hero goes all-in $1.96

Turn: ($6.53, 2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($6.53, 2 players, 2 all-in)

I raise here because is agg. factor on te flop is very high. He hasn't shown agression PF. Here his range could be: 33,55,JJ, AQo+,AQs+ i think. I include AA,KK,QQ because his agg. PF is very low, he could be limping with these pp's. I pokerstoved it and came up with the folowing numbers:
Code:
Hand 0: 	44.796%  	43.71% 	01.09% 	         19905 	      495.00   { QcQh }
Hand 1: 	55.204%  	54.12% 	01.09% 	         24645 	      495.00   { JJ+, 55, 33, AQs+, AQo+ }
I did'n make the right call, did i?
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XTR1000
Old 09-21-2009, 11:36 AM     Post subject: Re: 2NL QQ versus flop agression #2 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Qminator
I raise here because is agg. factor on te flop is very high.
This makes little sense. Whatever your sample on him is, mind he only took max 1/4 of those to the flop. How many of those were raised 6way pots? Basically, you can throw your stats over board. (Also, a person being aggressive is NOT a reason to raise him)

I dont know how these games play, but the action in question here should be raise or call his lead imo. On such a dry board there is little need to protect whatsoever, so your question is (a) do I have enough equity to continue? and (b) how does his range respond to a raise? Its basically a question of how likely he is to stack off 150BB deep with AJ/KJ/QJ. If he doesn´t stack off with those raising just accomplishes nothing (well, protecting against KJ/AJ´s 3 outer, but ttheir price is bad already) and you´re better off calling and taking a turn.
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Carroters
Old 09-21-2009, 03:46 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 In my 25NL experience with aggro donks, this is AJ/KJ etc way more often than hands that beat us and I seriously doubt he folds top pair to a raise.

Calling might be better though since he can have bluffs or weak pairs that he wont felt, but can bluff/bet again with on the turn b/c he's bad.

I'm not looking to fold here unless someone else comes over the top so either way we can make sure a bet goes in on the turn so I like calling with the intention of felting any non J, K or A turn vs this guy. Another bonus to not raising the flop is we might get 88 99 TT etc to come along aswell drawing to 2 outs.

 
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