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rong
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09-10-2010, 08:53 PM
Post subject: 2nl, 6mx, 88, squeeze/shove?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Beachside
Posts: 1,196
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Stats:
SB: 47/33 over 30 hands
BB: 65/12 AFac 1 over 34 hands
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($3.42)
Hero (CO) ($4.32)
Button ($2)
SB ($1.06)
BB ($0.66)
UTG ($4)
Preflop: Hero is CO with , 
1 fold, MP calls $0.02, Hero bets $0.10, 1 fold, SB calls $0.09, BB raises to $0.18, 1 fold, Hero???
So the question I have is should I be shoving over the top here?
The argument for: SB only called, which implies weakness & is therefore likely to fold, also SB only has a further 48BBs so I'm not really getting my implied odds to setmine. BB has a further 24BBs behind, again no odds to setmine. 20BB in the pot, equity against even a tight range:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.374% 39.19% 00.19% 37574366 181057.00 { 8h8s }
Hand 1: 60.626% 60.44% 00.19% 57952544 181057.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }
EV of a shove with above range always calling: +11.4bb
Am I missing anything here?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
hey guys, if you ever make a snap call on the river when your opponent raises you're fucking retarded.
Fucking. Retarded.
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PlayToWin
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 606
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If you are behind their range, how is shoving +ev?
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Explain...what I do for a living without saying "I make monies in da 600 enels by pwnin' tha donk bitches". Instead I say "I'm a online financial redistribution broker". - Sasquach991
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rong
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Beachside
Posts: 1,196
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Dead chips
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
hey guys, if you ever make a snap call on the river when your opponent raises you're fucking retarded.
Fucking. Retarded.
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PlayToWin
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 606
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DanAronG
Dead chips
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I thought dead chips were chips that you could steal with a bet given that villians wouldn't defend. But you say above that villian is always calling the shove, so I don't get it.
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Explain...what I do for a living without saying "I make monies in da 600 enels by pwnin' tha donk bitches". Instead I say "I'm a online financial redistribution broker". - Sasquach991
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oskar
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: in ur accounts... confiscating ur funz
Posts: 2,452
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DanAronG
EV of a shove with above range always calling: +11.4bb
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no
How do you get to 11.4?
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The strengh of a hero is defined by the weakness of his villains.
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rong
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Full House
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Beachside
Posts: 1,196
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ah yeah, woops, still positive though.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
hey guys, if you ever make a snap call on the river when your opponent raises you're fucking retarded.
Fucking. Retarded.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,463
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PlayToWin
I thought dead chips were chips that you could steal with a bet given that villians wouldn't defend. But you say above that villian is always calling the shove, so I don't get it.
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I think what OP means is there is overlay given the amount of money in the pot already which reduces the amount of equity he needs compared to if stacks were deeper to make going all in +EV
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