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25NL TPTK + nut flush draw facing turn raise

  
 
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BluffCheck
Old 06-26-2009, 12:54 AM     Post subject: 25NL TPTK + nut flush draw facing turn raise #1 (permalink)  

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Posts: 48
BluffCheck
When I played this hand I supersnapcalled the turn but upon review with pokerstove and etc, it seems like it may be a marginal call.

I think villain calls down with Qx, and the only drawy hand he called the flop bet with is 46, so that leaves his range to be super strong vs my hand? We're getting 2.78-1, so we need 36% equity to call.

1,100 games 0.005 secs 220,000 games/sec

Board: 5c Qd 3s 2c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 21.273% 21.27% 00.00% 234 0.00 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 78.727% 78.73% 00.00% 866 0.00 { 55, 33-22, 64s, 64o }

Should this be a fold instead? Or is this just BvB nonsense and ship all day.

Villain 31/9, 2.3% 3bet, AF 1.08/AFq 43, 0% fold BB to steal over 108 hands:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($25.79)
UTG+1 ($25)
MP1 ($23.66)
MP2 ($12.50)
CO ($16.88)
Button ($4.65)
Hero (SB) ($27.69)
BB ($14.24)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, A
6 folds, Hero bets $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50) 5, Q, 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $1, BB calls $1

Turn: ($3.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.25, BB raises to $12.49 (All-In), Hero calls $10.24

River: ($28.48) 9 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $28.48 | Rake: $1.42
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AFchung
Old 06-26-2009, 03:26 AM #2 (permalink)  
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i like raising pre to $1 since we're OOP and would rather end the hand.

i think we have to fold the turn. 31/9/1 is loose passive and he's showing a great deal of aggression on a blank. i can't see him doing this with a queen
 
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Old 06-26-2009, 06:08 AM #3 (permalink)  
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this isn't bvb non-sense because villain doesn't know what bvb is
but you're putting him on a super strong range

I think A4 is in his range too because fish love to call the flop ace high especially if they have a gutshot
he could possibly have something like 3c4c/7c6c
his bet sizing kind of looks like a draw or the nuts
if he raised smaller he'd actually be more likely to have the nuts

I mean it's still a fold, I just disagree with your ranges you can't put people on the nuts 100% of the time
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surviva316
Old 06-26-2009, 02:51 PM #4 (permalink)  
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start putting more thought into your PFR-sizing. especially when you KNOW you're gonna be OOP in the hand
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