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25NL TP vs strong turn lead

  
 
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BluffCheck
Old 06-25-2009, 07:32 AM     Post subject: 25NL TP vs strong turn lead #1 (permalink)  

Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 48
BluffCheck
I'm opening A9o in MP3 because CO/BTN are super nitty and don't steal much.

Villain 47/11 over 17 hands:

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($15.91)
BB ($9.84)
UTG ($12)
UTG+1 ($3.85)
MP1 ($24.30)
MP2 ($13.25)
Hero (MP3) ($29.64)
CO ($5)
Button ($28.09)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 9, A
4 folds, Hero bets $0.85, 3 folds, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.80) 7, 8, A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, BB calls $1.20

Turn: ($4.20) 5 (2 players)
BB bets $4.20, Hero ???

Total pot: $4.20 | Rake: $0.21
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Old 06-25-2009, 07:38 AM #2 (permalink)  
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but what about the blinds?
when you get called, are you up against a strong range or a weak range? you need to include both of the blinds into your preflop decision
if this guy calls then it's probably a weak range, although over 17 hands we can't be sure

treat it like getting check-raised and fold
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DaD01ng
Old 06-25-2009, 08:54 AM #3 (permalink)  

Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 51
DaD01ng
fold, pretty much any Ace has you beat.
 
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L_Clan_Sup3rMaN
Old 06-25-2009, 09:16 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaD01ng
fold, pretty much anything has you beat.
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wonderland
Old 06-25-2009, 04:26 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Location: Nottingham, UK
Posts: 478
wonderland
obviously this is a fold. No one does this with a crap hand.

I put him squarely on 77 or 88 given your reads. Possible 78s. He likes your flop bet and wants to let you value town yourself. But that spade just made things tricky so he's betting full pot. Two flush draws turn his play fast. If he's a nit he'd have folded 55 on the flop.

At these stakes, a large bet like this is at the very LEAST 2 pair.
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