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Sasquach991
Old 07-14-2010, 06:50 PM     Post subject: 25nl-QQ #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is ~35/8/1 over about 30 hands. fold to cbet at ~70%

After flop call do I barrel? I expected a fold to cbet
river?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($15.53)
BB ($22.32)
UTG ($33.10)
UTG+1 ($16.25)
MP1 ($31.62)
Hero (MP2) ($43.58)
MP3 ($26.18)
CO ($17.55)
Button ($12.46)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q, Q
3 folds, Hero bets $1, 2 folds, Button calls $1, 2 folds
Flop: ($2.35) 3, K, 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.25, Button calls $1.25
Turn: ($4.85) K (2 players)
Hero checks, Button checks
River: ($4.85) 4 (2 players)
Hero ???
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StarGrinder
Old 07-14-2010, 07:09 PM #2 (permalink)  
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I bet the flop a little harder to price out hands like AJ, QJ and J9. Under-pairs would try to steal here on the turn I believe after floating the flop, unless he's kinda passive. After checking the turn, Kx is such a small part of his range that we can lead the river for value. Barreling kind of turns our hand into a bluff and puts us in a weird on the river spot if called.
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Imthenewfish
Old 07-14-2010, 07:17 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Assuming the flop cbet was to get value from a pair of 10's, another king is one of the best cards in the deck for you, but I think that it's too thin to go for 4 streets of value so i c/f or c/c that turn depending on bet sizing, planning on betting the river for value. We're trying to bet the most that 10x is going to call so I'd bet about 2/3 pot at $3. (plan your hand please)
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Imthenewfish
Old 07-14-2010, 07:20 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StarGrinder View Post
I bet the flop a little harder to price out hands like AJ, QJ and J9. Under-pairs would try to steal here on the turn I believe after floating the flop, unless he's kinda passive. After checking the turn, Kx is such a small part of his range that we can lead the river for value. Barreling kind of turns our hand into a bluff and puts us in a weird on the river spot if called.
We block them draws with our queens . underpairs fold flop a lot and he is pretty passive/straightforward i think. Barreling actually turns our hand into thin value because he's not really ever folding better, but yes, it does put us in a weird river spot.
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daven
Old 07-14-2010, 08:55 PM #5 (permalink)  
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After flop call do I barrel? I expected a fold to cbet
why the cbet then?

plan your hand
ok, you're betting flop for value or bluff or cos you always c-bet flops?
if' you're betting flop for value then you expect his calling range to be behind your QQ, the K turn actually means there are less hands in his range that have you beat, so... bet for thin value while his draws are still calling.
 
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Sasquach991
Old 07-14-2010, 09:39 PM #6 (permalink)  
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The plan was to value bet every street. The cbet was only a little over 1/2 pot. I get into trouble sometimes on paired boards, especially with stations as I rarely put them on a range that includes trips. I really get into trouble when they minbet.
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Outlaw
Old 07-14-2010, 10:15 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Bet $2 on flop
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Imthenewfish
Old 07-14-2010, 10:39 PM #8 (permalink)  
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Bet $2 on flop
wai
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Hoopy
Old 07-14-2010, 11:54 PM #9 (permalink)  
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Bet flop a little harder for value, his calling range is {Tx, QJ, J9, Q9 and some Kx hands} and since we have QQ and there's two Kings out on the turn his range is more weighted to Tx.

I'd b/f flop and turn and c/evaluate the river since I don't think Tx will call a 3rd barrel, do we think this guy will ever bluff missed draws here?
 
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Imthenewfish
Old 07-15-2010, 12:12 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HoopyDude View Post
Bet flop a little harder for value, his calling range is {Tx, QJ, J9, Q9 and some Kx hands} and since we have QQ and there's two Kings out on the turn his range is more weighted to Tx.

I'd b/f flop and turn and c/evaluate the river since I don't think Tx will call a 3rd barrel, do we think this guy will ever bluff missed draws here?
how many missed draws are in his range?
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Icanhastreebet
Old 07-15-2010, 05:43 AM #11 (permalink)  
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1.75/f
4/f
8/f
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Icanhastreebet
Old 07-15-2010, 05:44 AM #12 (permalink)  
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oh yeah as played, 6.5/f
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daven
Old 07-15-2010, 06:10 AM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sasquach991 View Post
The plan was to value bet every street. .
good plan, i like it. Seems you forgot the plan on the turn tho
 
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Sasquach991
Old 07-15-2010, 03:51 PM #14 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by daven View Post
good plan, i like it. Seems you forgot the plan on the turn tho
Because of the "I get into trouble on paired boards" part. One reason I posted this hand.

I bet $2.50 on the river for value as all draws missed and I only lose to Kx and some wierd ass 2 pair hand or sets. Would you put AA in his range?
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Imthenewfish
Old 07-15-2010, 05:16 PM #15 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sasquach991 View Post
Because of the "I get into trouble on paired boards" part. One reason I posted this hand.

I bet $2.50 on the river for value as all draws missed and I only lose to Kx and some wierd ass 2 pair hand or sets. Would you put AA in his range?
AA in his range liek 0.001% of the time?
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Lesbiansvixes
Old 07-15-2010, 06:37 PM     Post subject: lesbian asian school girl classroom orgywild lesbian squirting fisting #16 (permalink)  
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Gobbatino
Old 07-15-2010, 07:17 PM #17 (permalink)  
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I'd b/f flop and turn for 2/3ish pot. River depends on villain. If he's river bet happy (rising trend as of late) I might c/c. Otherwise I b/f again.
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kmind
Old 07-15-2010, 07:33 PM #18 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sasquach991 View Post
Because of the "I get into trouble on paired boards" part. One reason I posted this hand.

I bet $2.50 on the river for value as all draws missed and I only lose to Kx and some wierd ass 2 pair hand or sets. Would you put AA in his range?
Haven't read much of the thread but this is a good reason to bet turn...
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Bear Bones
Old 07-15-2010, 07:33 PM #19 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gobbatino View Post
I'd b/f flop and turn for 2/3ish pot. River depends on villain. If he's river bet happy (rising trend as of late) I might c/c. Otherwise I b/f again.
As villian I raise your weak looking flop bet about 60% of the time and bet the turn the rest of the time with any two cards. If you think he'll lay down a weak king I think you have to play this more aggressively and fold if you get pushed back at.
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Imthenewfish
Old 07-15-2010, 07:40 PM #20 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bear Bones View Post
As villian I raise your weak looking flop bet about 60% of the time and bet the turn the rest of the time with any two cards. If you think he'll lay down a weak king I think you have to play this more aggressively and fold if you get pushed back at.
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Sasquach991
Old 07-15-2010, 08:03 PM #21 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kmind View Post
Haven't read much of the thread but this is a good reason to bet turn...
What is a good reason? AA?

Why are we betting turn if he has AA. He's not going to fold them and all I'd be doing is spewing.

If you mean he has Kx or sets or wierd 2 pair then I'm still spewing.
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Gobbatino
Old 07-15-2010, 08:14 PM #22 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bear Bones View Post
As villian I raise your weak looking flop bet about 60% of the time and bet the turn the rest of the time with any two cards. If you think he'll lay down a weak king I think you have to play this more aggressively and fold if you get pushed back at.
I'm not sure what the purpose of your post is.

Do you mean to say you raise 60% c-bets against anyone on this board? That's pretty bad, this board tends to hit the average MP PF raiser really well so you're only folding out a few combos with your weird bluff line.

No one is folding any kings here, I'm not sure why you think I'd think anyone would.
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kmind
Old 07-15-2010, 11:04 PM #23 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sasquach991 View Post
What is a good reason? AA?

Why are we betting turn if he has AA. He's not going to fold them and all I'd be doing is spewing.

If you mean he has Kx or sets or wierd 2 pair then I'm still spewing.
No I was talking about the draws missing part. You can still def. get value on the turn. He can have stuff that beats you but not often enough to warrant a check on the turn IMO.

I don't get the "weird 2 pair" thing because we dominate any other 2 pair unless he has AA. Also, if you say "weird" and mean he can have a really unusual hand then he'll definitely have a lot of Tx or something else most regs. wouldn't have (ld0). But this means more combos we beat.

Basically, I bet the turn mediumish for value.
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