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25NL - QJs facing donk bet.
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kiwiMark
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03-21-2010, 09:49 PM
Post subject: 25NL - QJs facing donk bet.
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#1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Nu Zuland bru
Posts: 939
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Villain is 18/13, and had donked another flop a few hands previous, to which I'd folded.
$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG eltopo57 ($25.40)
UTG+1 djrion ($25.35)
CO Hero ($37.30)
BTN ferhat53 ($11.15)
SB lenni66 ($30.95)
BB AApa2 ($24.65)
Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is CO 
2 folds, Hero raises to $1 ($36.30), 2 folds, AApa2 calls $0.75 ($23.65)
Flop: ($2.10, 2 players)
AApa2 bets $1.50 ($22.15), Hero calls $1.50 ($34.80)
Turn: ($5.10, 2 players)
AApa2 bets $4 ($18.15), Hero calls $4 ($30.80)
River: ($13.10, 2 players)
AApa2 bets $7 ($11.15), Hero goes all-in $30.80 ($0.00) ...
Preflop: I imagine he's calling out of the big blind with something like: {22+, AJ+, KJs+, KQo, 76s+}
Flop: I really don't know what villain's donk betting range here is, but given previous history I don't want to rule our bluffs nor value, but I think it's unlikely to be 7x or Tx, likewise not missed pocket pairs. So villain's range here is: {AJ+, KJs+, KQo, 98s, QJs, 77, TT, KK, AA}. Against that range I have like 32% equity, so I'm getting direct pot odds to call. There are maybe arguments to semibluff raise here, but I'd feel like I'm just folding out his bluffs and keeping in his value hands, so I like the call.
Turn: On the turn I pick up a flush draw to go with my OESD, and villain bets again, and quite big. Now I'm thinking it's much much more likely to be for value on his part, perhaps with the range: {AK, KJs+, KQo, 98cc, 98dd, QJcc, 77, TT, KK, AA} against which I've got 34% equity. Again I'm getting direct pot odds to call, and I think I probably have fairly reasonable implied odds, too.
River: On the river I make my flush, and villain bets again, with the range {AK, KJs+, KQo, 77, TT, KK, AA} I think it's pretty unlikely that villain folds some combos to a $11.15 shove that he calls a $7 minraise with, so I think shoving here is the best play. Even if there are combos for which that's the case, it has to represent more than 37% of his range (7 * 1.0 = 7, 11.15 * 0.63 = 7) before shoving becomes the worse play.
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Micro2Macro
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Moderator
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: http://three-pair.com/
Posts: 4,463
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Looks good, now post some hands where you fuck up
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"Once we reach a certain level of mastery, we see there are higher levels and challenges. If we are disciplined and patient, we proceed. At each higher level, new pleasures and insights await us--ones not even suspected when we started out. We can take this as far as we want--in any human activity there is always a higher level to which we can aspire."
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kiwiMark
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Nu Zuland bru
Posts: 939
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[10:44] <kiwiMark> I'm always like "Hmmm, nah that's probably fucking horrible, I'll find another hand to post"
[10:45] <kiwiMark> so retardedly counter-intuitive
But alright, m, you're on. Tomorrow I shall post a hand I played fucking horribly as my hand-for-review.
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spoonitnow
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: IRC Chat Room
Posts: 5,406
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Figure out what to do with the rest of your range on the flop.
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Ripptyde
I only have 2 simple rules when I am coaching a new student.
Rule # 1: don't ask questions
Rule # 2: don't ask questions
I have no interest in discussing strategy with a protege'. Your job is to remain quiet and listen. I have a very systematic approach that I will share with the right candidate and I promise that I will turn you into a force of nature and show you elements of the game of poker that you never knew existed.
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texa8
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Straight
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Melbourne Australia
Posts: 207
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nh sir
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kiwiMark
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Nu Zuland bru
Posts: 939
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Quote:
Originally Posted by spoonitnow
Figure out what to do with the rest of your range on the flop.
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Sounds good.
My range on the flop {A2s+, A8o+, K8s+, KTo+, Q9s+, QTo+, J9s+, JTo, 22+, 54s+, 75s+}
Raising: {77, TT, KK, AA, A2cc-AKcc, AK, KT}
Calling: {JJ-QQ AT, K8s-K9s, KJs+, Q9cc, QTs+, QTo+, J9s+, JTo, conncetors and one-gappers with FD}
Folding: {22-66, 88-99, A8-AQ (exc. cc and ATo), connectors and one-gappers without flush draw}
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