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25NL - AA vs Turn Aggression

  
 
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kiwiMark
Old 08-04-2010, 12:02 AM     Post subject: 25NL - AA vs Turn Aggression #1 (permalink)  
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 I'm not sure about turn or river here. Villain is 28/11 over 50 odd hands. Seems positionally aware, in as much as he's mainly limping in EP and raising in LP.

$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero ($25.70)
UTG+1 ($50.48)
CO ($25.42)
BTN ($24.60)
SB ($48.79)
BB ($25)

Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is UTG
Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, BTN calls $1, 2 folds

Flop: ($2.35, 2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, BB says "qq", BTN calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.35, 2 players)
Hero bets $4, UTG+1 says "had JJ", BTN raises to $9, Hero calls $5

River: ($23.35, 2 players)
Hero ($14.2)?


Preflop: I might be being too conservative here, but I feel like he'll only call my UTG raise on the button here with decent broadways pocket pairs, and some suited-connected stuff. {22+, 76s-QJs, ATs+, AJo+, KJs+, KQo} He'll prolly 3bet KK+, but who knows.

Flop: I think here he's calling me with pairs eights up, sets and gutterballs. Perhaps: {33, 88, 99-JJ, QQ, (KK-AA?), 87s+, KQ, AQ}

Turn: When I bet out here I think he'll probably fold his rubbish pairs and gutterballs, but continue with his queens and maybe his pocket pairs that he can't fold. However he raises me.

I don't know whether I should just stick it in here or what. I opted to call thinking that if he's bluffing maybe I can get him to bluff off the rest of his stack on the river out of desperation, but I really don't know. As far as value is concerned if he does this with sets, quads, KK and AQ then I can just shove it in, if he doesn't have KK in his range then I can comfortably call but can't raise over.
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Icanhastreebet
Old 08-04-2010, 01:36 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 Fish don't float the flop to minraise turns as bluffs, that said I'd just shove pretty confidently.
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Icanhastreebet
Old 08-04-2010, 01:37 AM #3 (permalink)  
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 Also shoving because having him check back some Qx or like TT(some fish like to "see where they are at" or w/e) is going to suck.
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spoonitnow
Old 08-04-2010, 01:37 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
<@spoonitnow> 25NL - AA vs Turn Aggression
* @spoonitnow slaps yaawn around a bit with a large trout
<yaawn> seems
<yaawn> like turn shove
<@spoonitnow> that's what i'm thinking too
<@spoonitnow> if we call turn check river
<yaawn> Fish don't float the flop to minraise turns as bluffs, that said I'd just shove pretty confidently.
<@spoonitnow> seems super shitty
<yaawn> I mean he might even be minraising something like TT
<yaawn> then checking back
<@spoonitnow> right
<yaawn> like minraising to see where he's at
<yaawn> then being like meh I can probably win
<@spoonitnow> like there's so much shit he checks back on river
<@spoonitnow> and call turn/shove river < shove turn
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kiwiMark
Old 08-04-2010, 01:39 AM #5 (permalink)  
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