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FriskyPirate
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04-18-2009, 02:06 AM
Post subject: 25NL - 88 vs shorty 3bet
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#1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Palm Springs
Posts: 92
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Fishy player limps UTG and I raise to isolate in MP. Short stack villain 3bets from the hyjack and his/her stats are 20/0 for ten hands and he has not 3 bet until now. I'm not sure why he left $1.55 in his stack. Is this fold based on the read or a call/put him all in based on the math? I'm worried about his stats being so rocky that I want to fold here. Any thoughts?
$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
7 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG poff20 ($14.05)
UTG+1 Hero ($25.60)
MP cal322 ($32.90)
CO Denis Ul ($4.80)
BTN dfjaajk ($26.45)
SB Rueanger ($14.90)
BB schliere ($22.35)
Pre-flop: ($0.35, 7 players) Hero is UTG+1  
poff20 calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.20, 1 fold, Denis Ul raises to $3.25, 3 folds, poff20 folds, $2.05 to Hero ($24.40)?
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tyrn
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Straight
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 189
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There's no sense calling because you're not getting away from his $1 bet on the flop so it's either shove or fold. The math here is calling $3.6 to win $6.25. You have to win ~40% of the time to call this.
You're about 40% equity vs 66+,AQs+,AKo+, any tighter and you gotta fold.
What range do you put him on? 10 hands isn't enough hands to use his stats. What do you think about him holding back $1 and how does that effect his range?
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FriskyPirate
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Palm Springs
Posts: 92
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by tyrn
What do you think about him holding back $1 and how does that effect his range?
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I think it shows he is a weaker short-stacker so his range is wider...is this correct? Or does it mean he is so confident in his hand that he is trying to bait me into calling?
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by FriskyPirate
Quote:
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Originally Posted by tyrn
What do you think about him holding back $1 and how does that effect his range?
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I think it shows he is a weaker short-stacker so his range is wider...is this correct? Or does it mean he is so confident in his hand that he is trying to bait me into calling? |
You don't really know. Just assign a range and calculate your equity. I'd shove because I feel like he could do this with any pp.
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bjsaust
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Straight Flush
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Ballarat, Australia
Posts: 5,842
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Shortstackers do this with weird crap. I just click the minraise button and get in.
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Just playing to improve.
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