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10NL : Value Pwned ?

  
 
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Evilpopcorn
Old 06-08-2009, 05:10 PM     Post subject: 10NL : Value Pwned ? #1 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 232
Evilpopcorn
Villian Stats : (VP$IP/PFR [Street Aggression] 3-bet%)

BB: 100/50 [inf 0 inf] 0% over 5 hands.

My Thoughts And Questions

Getting 3 to 1 on an almost unknow who has played every single hadn so far do i just call and make note ? Feel like there is a lot beating me...... especialy with his bet sizing that looks and stink like value.

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players


SB: $11.85
BB: $10.35
UTG: $14.55
MP: $8.30
CO: $5.50
Hero (BTN): $16.90

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with Q T
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.90) K T 7 (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.90) Q (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, SB folds, BB calls $0.70

River: ($2.30) 6 (2 players)
BB bets $1.10, Hero?
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sarbox68
Old 06-08-2009, 05:34 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Location: wondering where the 3 extra chairs at my 6max table came from
Posts: 871
sarbox68
So you beat AK and some wacky random sh!t, and I'd need some real reason to think AK checks two streets for value... This is one of those bottom 2-pr hands that IMHO looks sweeter than it is, esp on this board. AJ got there, as did 89. KT & KQ got you. It's almost a 1/2 PSB bet so not THAT out of line, but I don't expect to win this much at all... not even 25% of the time.

That being said, you could call for a peek and take some notes... since this guys in with every hand, maybe he's doing something goofy w/ AQ or 76 or could show up with absolutely anything.
 
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Old 06-08-2009, 05:48 PM #3 (permalink)  
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fish are generally willing to bluff one street
I call and expect spades some of the time, something retarded the rest of the time (67? T6s?)

just because you call expecting to be beat doesn't mean you should fold
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daven
Old 06-08-2009, 06:44 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
daven will become famous soon enough
 call.
Give him a range and put it in poker stove. Look at the results, think about the pot-odds. Know that he is an unknown fish. Snap call. You'll lose sometimes, just as long as you win these spots >25% of the time you're fine.

And if you lose it's great for your image anyway - they'll think "donk who raises QT" or nothing, depends if they are capable of independent thought
don't raise with the straight flush bro, nobody ever gonna call that shit
allin, reload, repeat

please read: http://www.philgalfond.com/lets-make-some-changes/
 
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bigspenda73
Old 06-08-2009, 07:01 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Location: Pwnsylvania
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bigspenda73 will become famous soon enoughbigspenda73 will become famous soon enough
 hope for spades expect to see 89/AJ/KQ
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revolvingiris
Old 06-08-2009, 11:47 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Posts: 1,139
revolvingiris
Your getting 1/3 and he isn't ahead here often enough to fold. Incorrect bet sizing is one of the most recurring things 10NL players do (Im guilty). What does his river bet represent? 5 in a row makes him loose enough to call. I'd still have Qx, tx,76 in his range.
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