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10NL - Fullring, ugly river with tpgk

  
 
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walker179
Old 10-01-2009, 07:49 AM     Post subject: 10NL - Fullring, ugly river with tpgk #1 (permalink)  
One Pair

Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 24
walker179
No stats/reads on Villain
Did I play this good so far?
Whats the best river line?
Villain only has $4.82 left


Button ($10.83)
SB ($23.87)
BB ($5.64)
Hero (UTG) ($18.56)
MP1 ($11.02)
MP2 ($10.43)
CO ($19.99)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, Q
BB calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, 4 folds, BB calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.60) Q, 9, J (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.60, MP1 calls $1.60, 1 fold

Turn: ($4.80) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.10, MP1 calls $4.10

River: ($13) 2 (2 players)
Hero: ?????
Total pot: $13
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surviva316
Old 10-01-2009, 08:53 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Confusing people with my liberal biblicisms
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well seeing as how there's only 1/3 PSB left behind and villain is a complete unknown, i don't think it's ever right to fold here, so our options are between bet, or c/c

well, i'll think you'll find that like 80% of 10nl players will check behind ANYTHING worse here that might try to get to showdown. also, there's like nothing in his range that will wanna bluff here, except like AK and MAYBE 87, though that seems like a stretch without reads. also, he's almost always betting behind with everything that beats us (QJ, 2x, flushes), so we're not saving ourselves very much money by trying to check to see a cheap showdown.

on the other hand, there's all sorts of stuff that unknowns will call with that's worse (QT, JT, T9 a lot of the times, KQ, etc).

SO, checking allows us no advantage ('cause c/f is never our best option, we're not often "saving money" against hands that beat us and we get value from more of his range by just betting out than we do by checking to induce a bet from worse), so betting is superior.
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littleogre
Old 10-01-2009, 10:51 AM #3 (permalink)  

Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,344
littleogre has a little shameless behaviour in the past
Bet or check fold. Hands you beat are usually checking behind but plenty of hands that you beat are calling a bet. So bet>check fold> check call
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