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Evilpopcorn
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06-02-2009, 08:07 PM
Post subject: 10NL : Facing an overbet jam
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 232
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Villian Stats : (VP$IP/PFR [Street Aggression] 3-bet%)
Less than 20 hands on villian.
My Thoughts And Questions
Unknow villian and the over bet looks like a draw and not a strong made hand (sets, two pairs).
The best draw he can have is a flush + gutter.
Alright to stack off here ? I dont expext to see hands like AK/AQ either as he would have raised these my guess.
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
BB: $11.55
UTG: $7.25
CO: $9.85
BTN: $18.00
Hero (SB): $10.00
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with A J
2 folds, BTN calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.40
Flop: ($1.10) A 4 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.70, BTN raises to $17.50 all in, Hero?
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Carroters
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Da Amberlamps
Posts: 2,216
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Erm probably fold here in the absence of info to suggest villain is at least a little crazy. A4 and A8 are a pretty big part of his range here I think and we don't have amazing equity against any draws.
We're either slightly ahead vs draws, or way behind imo.
I've encountered a fair amount of donks at these stakes that play nut hands absurdly fast like this and this is never total air. If we give him a range of A4, A8, A9, A10, AJ, AQ, 44, 88 and flush draws, our equity sucks.
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jennizzen
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Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 23
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Yeah... I agree with Carroters - looks like this guy could have 2 pair here or he's overplaying a smaller ace, but I'd wait to find out if he's crazy or not before I shove all my chips in. Sometimes I'm willing to pay for information, but rarely this much at these stakes. Pretty easy fold for me.
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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i call and expect him to show a lot of worse aces and flushdraws
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Hoopy
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Full House
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Riverballs
Posts: 777
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Vs an unknown I fold this, most of the time this is a huge hand which is scared of the FD.
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mixchange
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 1,665
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I am biased a bit because I don't play these stakes and expect this is "a fishy bluff/bad value conception from a weak ace" play by villain a lot
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