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10NL-AKs with nut flush draw

  
 
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Sasquach991
Old 02-16-2009, 06:00 PM     Post subject: 10NL-AKs with nut flush draw #1 (permalink)  
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Villian had played 3 hands so no real stats. Previously(about 2 hands earlier) he had gone to showdown with small pp and lost.
PF I put him on 22+ or broadways. Flop I figured he hit a set. On the turn I had 11 outs(9 spades and two Ts).

No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP ($23.30)
CO ($10.55)
Button ($10)
SB ($10.55)
Hero (BB) ($10.35)
UTG ($12.80)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, K
3 folds, Button calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises $0.30, Button raises $0.60, Hero calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.45) 7, J, 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($2.45) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $1.90, Button raises $8.80 (All-In), Hero ??
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Fnord
Old 02-16-2009, 06:25 PM #2 (permalink)  
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For god sakes.

Make it 50c pre-flop. Maybe bigger because people like to make stupid calls for small amounts of real money.

Fail that, re-raise pre-flop to $2.5, shove any flop.

Fail that, re-raise the flop to $3, call a shove, shove any turn if he flats.

This is usually something retarded pre-flop. You'll see a small to mediumish pocket pair a lot, but so much other shit that I'm hard pressed to put him on a hand. So I'm just not going to play his hand, I'm just going to play mine really fast and he can give up whenever he wants.
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bigspenda73
Old 02-16-2009, 06:42 PM #3 (permalink)  
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 if he has a set like you think he does (which is just so incorrect to put him on exactly a set on the flop when he bets 1/3rd the pot) you actually have 3 non-spades tens and 7 spades (Qs and 2s are not outs if he has a set) for right in the neighborhood of 20% equity meaning you need 4:1 to call the turn, you're getting nowhere near that.
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Old 02-16-2009, 06:46 PM #4 (permalink)  
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he's in position
that means there's 25 cents in the pot, and you want to compensate for your being OOP by making him play a big pot with worse cards

so make it 60 or even 70
this is not a mistake because you won't be raising even AJo in this spot, you will have ONLY great hands

and I agree with Fnord
nobody is going to limp/reraise anything good here
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Fnord
Old 02-16-2009, 06:54 PM #5 (permalink)  
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He could have Aces or Kings, it just won't happen often enough for me to feel bad about getting all of my money into the pot.

More often he'll make a spite call, flop a pair and we'll get it in bad and hope to suck back out.
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bigspenda73
Old 02-16-2009, 06:58 PM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
this is not a mistake because you won't be raising even AJo in this spot, you will have ONLY great hands
you are INCORRECT sir
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Old 02-17-2009, 05:26 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iopq
this is not a mistake because you won't be raising even AJo in this spot, you will have ONLY great hands
you are INCORRECT sir
Great hands for value, I don't mean you won't be bluffing here
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