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10NL: AA vs set plx?

  
 
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Gobbatino
Old 07-08-2009, 06:23 PM     Post subject: 10NL: AA vs set plx? #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is 37/10/1.7 but over a very small sample. No specific reads, haven't been playing him for very long at all. In a flop as dry as this and with a c/r, I thought his range on that turn is pretty much sets, maybe 99-77 but his AF doesn't show he would be betting these so aggro. Am I completely off and is this a horrible fold or what?

Absolute/UB Cereus No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Absolute/UB Cereus Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Button ($4.14)
SB ($7.03)
BB ($19.45)
UTG ($6.86)
Hero (MP) ($9.14)
CO ($5.76)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A, A
UTG calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.15) Q, 2, 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.60, UTG raises to $1.20, Hero calls $0.60

Turn: ($3.55) Q (2 players)
UTG bets $3.55, Hero folds

Total pot: $3.55 | Rake: $0.17
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surviva316
Old 07-08-2009, 06:31 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 obv never folding to the flop raise, but i think the turned Q makes his range pass ours. i think it would be more interesting if the turn were like a 9
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golfguy37
Old 07-08-2009, 06:35 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Shove the flop
 
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surviva316
Old 07-08-2009, 06:44 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by golfguy37
Shove the flop
do you have any reasoning for this? i mean the guy has PFR'ed before so we can't bank on him limp/calling KK, AQ or KQ and who's to say he's min-raising the flop with like Q9 here, and then calling a shove on top of that? hell, who's to say he's playing KQ that way?

if we shove and he calls, i'd be less shocked if he has 52s than if he has a queen that we beat.

if he had $3 behind to the flop rather than $6 i could see shoving the flop a lot more.
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Gobbatino
Old 07-08-2009, 07:25 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by golfguy37
Shove the flop
I don't understand this. The only hands that call that flop 3bet shove that we beat are AQ, KQ, and maybe some funky low draws but it's a very thin range.
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Micro2Macro
Old 07-08-2009, 11:46 PM #6 (permalink)  
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 wtf @ shove flop

nice fold on the turn
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