Poker Forum
|
Over 1,246,000 Posts!
|
|
|
>
>
10 NL: AJs vs. Loose Villain
|
|
|
Cougar
|
06-30-2009, 03:26 PM
Post subject: 10 NL: AJs vs. Loose Villain
|
#1 (permalink)
|
|
Straight
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Pennsylvania
Posts: 121
|
|
Villain is 47/13/2.4 over 118 hands
Made some really loose call of J4o in SB on 4xbb bet from CO and called good sized bet on river with MPLK
Once we miss our flush draw on river, is the read enough to call the river on what seems like a very strong line?
I took a very passive line to get value from a pretty loosey-goosey villain, suggestions on better way to play this hand against this villain?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (BB) ($10)
UTG ($12.85)
UTG+1 ($1.95)
MP1 ($9.20)
MP2 ($8.25)
MP3 ($10.15)
CO ($10.35)
Button ($5.35)
SB ($7.80)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A , J
3 folds, MP2 calls $0.10, MP3 bets $0.20, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.10, MP2 raises to $0.30, MP3 calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10
Flop: ($0.95) 7 , 10 , J (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.75, MP3 calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.75
Turn: ($3.20) 10 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $2, 1 fold, Hero calls $2
River: ($7.20) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $4, Hero ???
|
|
------------------------
"...only time you stop learning is when your own ignorance & arrogance stops you from doing so!" -Martin Pritchett
|
Play for FREE and practice your game at...
Join the FTR Poker Forum to disable these banners and start posting!
|
|
|
|
|
|
so a limp/reraise pre is usually one of the following:
1) nuts
2) random shit
and it's actually pretty evenly distributed
and it of course depends on what the villain considers the nuts
some fish think AJo is the nuts and will min3b preflop so as not to scare you away since they have two good cards
but we'll say he either has:
JJ+,AK or trash in equal proportions
so on the flop he is possibly betting all of his range
but on the turn he's probably only betting:
Tx, JJ+, 77, Jx, XdYd, XcYc, 89, bluffs
on the river I would guess he's betting
Tx, JJ+, 77, XdYd, 9x because he would check a jack back and few bluffs
we're getting really good odds, though, we need to win slightly over 26% of the time to make this call
so call if you think he's stupid enough to bet three pair hands like J8/J7/78 or he bets a random jack because shit, top pair
otherwise it just looks like he has what he's repping
|
|
|
|
Latest Poker News
|
|
KoRnholio
|
05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
|
|
According to an email sent out by Mark Bryan, a gaming analyst at Merrill Lynch, the Australian government plans to legalize online poker sometime in the next six to 12 months. This move will coincide ...
|
| Thread Tools |
|
|
| Display Modes |
Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
All times are GMT. The time now is 06:51 PM.
|