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10-10 CO vs unknown river line check

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  1. #1

    Default 10-10 CO vs unknown river line check

    Villain was pretty much an unknown at only 25 hands he was running
    48-10 but was a small sample..

    Merge Network $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players -

    MP1: $4.32
    MP2: $1.16
    Hero (CO): $4.05
    BTN: $10.87
    SB: $3.53
    BB: $7.67
    UTG: $9.17
    UTG+1: $2.79

    Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero is CO with T T
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.04, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.08

    Flop: ($0.30) 6 6 5 (2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.20, UTG+1 calls $0.20

    Turn: ($0.70) 5 (2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero checks ????

    River: ($0.70) 7 (2 players)
    UTG+1 bets $0.46, Hero calls $0.46??

    Should i be betting this Turn???
    Is river a fold? I feel his line is odd and bluffy but calling down is prob. -EV??
  2. #2
    b/f turn imo, as played call river.

    If we bet turn and he calls, then villain leading river is stronger and I might find a fold. But since we checked turn he might sense weakness and bet his ace high or 88 or whatever.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  3. #3
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    I don't like it, but, personally, I check the turn, fold the river. I might call a bet of $0.30 or less, and hate myself when it was obv. V-bet on a boat

    Like you said, the river an easy spot for Villain to bluff, as he can rep A high (expecting a chop if you call), with a W I D E range of hands. Also, Villain might think Hero's C-bet was all air.

    Thing is, overpair to a paired board is marginal. I can be patient for a better spot.

    *note: I would have raised to $0.18 pre-flop.
  4. #4
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    bet turn and check turn are both ok vs vpip 48 i think
    as played river is a tough decision but i think it's better to call than to raise. Just don't ever fold vs this size of river bet as played
  5. #5
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    turn is a pretty clear bet, lots of hands that will peel turn but never call a river bet and I'm assuming someone this passive isn't bluffing a high enough frequency for us to want to check and bluff catch even though it's still +eV in all likelihood.

    edit: I'd raise to like 20c pre also.
  6. #6
    Since he's been passive so far, I would raise to. 20 maybe more, depends. Flop looks good sizing wise. Turn I think I B/F due to he's probably got a small pp, s.c. type hand which have decent equity as a range vs. Our Ts. If he calls turn I'm pretty much done putting money in the pot when that river comes. I fold to a donk bet, and check back when checked to. Take a note.

    As played tho, I think he bets pretty much his whole range here after we checkback turn. Makes our hand look weak. Bricked overs or something. I think we beat his river range enuff to call, which means we have to pay him off those few times he actually has it to get the money when he doesn't.
    "The harder you work, the luckier you get." ~ courtesy of my fortune cookie from china king

    "One of the best pieces of advice I've ever read in this forum was three words long...

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