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asdpikas
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08-28-2008, 03:18 PM
Post subject: What's wrong here?
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#1 (permalink)
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,056
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Is this just variance?
Seems like an awful big difference from 1/2 to 2/4...
http://picasaweb.google.com/asdpikas...87956488685090
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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it's unlikely a 4.5 BB/100 difference in winrate will occur just due to variance over a 25k sample. We are in the statistically this will happen < 1/100 times realm. So even though your stats are otherwise the same on both levels, I suspect you may be having the same problems as I sometimes do when I move up - you are treating your 2/4 opponents either like 1/2 dummies or like bluffing maniacs.
The biggest difference I find as you go up in levels is the level of consciousness of the players. Whereas someone at 1/2 might cap a low flush on a paired board, someone at 2/4 is more likely to realise they could be behind. The other thing is that just because someone at 2/4 raises the turn with TPTK when a 1/2 player would just call down doesn't mean they're bluffing at 2/4. People still play pretty straightforwardly - it's just that they are raising when they should instead of calling down!
My advice is to just give your 2/4 opponents a bit more respect for being sensible. Play tighter. They are better players after all than the guys at 1/2.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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Well I have the opposite problem: after I moved up I gave them too much credit and tried to be more aggressive... when ABC tag poker still wins
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how did you play 85% of the hands in 60% of the time? Did you 8 table instead of 6 tabling or something
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asdpikas
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 1,056
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by iopq
how did you play 85% of the hands in 60% of the time? Did you 8 table instead of 6 tabling or something
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Good point, i did 4table at 2/4 whereas i usually 3table 1/2
That is definitely a leak (or at least part of the cause of a reduction of my 2/4 winrate)
That IS something i hadn't consciously thought about yet
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