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weak/smart fold?

  
 
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rmariani
Old 06-14-2005, 11:31 AM     Post subject: weak/smart fold? #1 (permalink)  
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too weak, smart fold or should I just check the turn?

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q, Q.
4 folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, SB calls, 1 fold.

Flop: (5 SB) 4, A, 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB calls.

Turn: (3.50 BB) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB raises, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 6.50 BB
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Phyl
Old 06-14-2005, 11:34 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Without a read on SB I think this is perfect.
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pokerfanatic
Old 06-14-2005, 02:27 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Phyl
Without a read on SB I think this is perfect.
nice play i'm impressed...
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koolmoe
Old 06-14-2005, 02:48 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Why not check the turn and call the river? It costs the same and you get a showdown.

I don't play .5/1, but I don't see many better hands that will fold to a river bet, and I don't see too many hands against which this is a value bet.

I'd want to give him a chance to bluff, plus I'd love a free card here.
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Phyl
Old 06-14-2005, 02:52 PM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by koolmoe
Why not check the turn and call the river? It costs the same and you get a showdown.

I don't play .5/1, but I don't see many better hands that will fold to a river bet, and I don't see too many hands against which this is a value bet.

I'd want to give him a chance to bluff, plus I'd love a free card here.
I'm guessing he was going to check behind on the river unimproved.

The reason I said 'without a read I think this is perfect' is because against aggressive players checking behind on the turn and calling a river bet is so much better. 0.5/1 players don't bluff often enough to make this play but they are loose, I can easily see villain calling with a lesser hand on the turn.
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pokerfanatic
Old 06-14-2005, 02:52 PM #6 (permalink)  
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at .5/1 people play Kx and Ax too often to check call here IMO...
“Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today.” ~ James Dean ~

"Poker is a lot like sex, peoples perceived ability usually blinds the truth" ~ me ~

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koolmoe
Old 06-14-2005, 03:15 PM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfanatic01
at .5/1 people play Kx and Ax too often to check call here IMO...
So what's the value in betting the turn then?

At least if you check the turn and call a river bet you get a showdown for the same investment, and hands you beat are more likely to put in chips after you check the turn. That's how I'd play it at 5/10 without a read. Again, .5/1 may be a different story, but I'd want to know that this guy is going to showdown with any piece of the board before I bet the turn.

What's the value bet on the turn here? Some raggedy hand that caught a 4 or a 2?
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pokerfanatic
Old 06-14-2005, 03:18 PM #8 (permalink)  
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I’m sorry I miss read what you said, I think betting out on the turn is to make 100% certainty that your beat because he will raise about 90% the time you are, so with no reads at all on that opponent you basically bet out to see where you are and if he raises I think you can let it go DUE TO what I stated in my previous post...
“Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today.” ~ James Dean ~

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Room
Old 06-14-2005, 03:27 PM #9 (permalink)  
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You're either WA/WB here. If he holds Ax, Kx you need big help - if he holds any pocket pair (other than a set), you're way ahead (and he will likey fold to your turn bet). Check through the turn, call the river - this lets a worse hand bluff or and a better hand win the least from you.
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koolmoe
Old 06-14-2005, 03:34 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfanatic01
I’m sorry I miss read what you said, I think betting out on the turn is to make 100% certainty that your beat because he will raise about 90% the time you are, so with no reads at all on that opponent you basically bet out to see where you are and if he raises I think you can let it go DUE TO what I stated in my previous post...
If your only reason to bet out is to fold if you are raised, then you should not bet and should instead prefer to take a showdown for the same price.

Better reasons to bet are to make a better hand fold (is Ax, Kx or better folding? Probably not.) or to make a drawing hand put in more chips (which may happen, but most rational players will fold hands QQ beats when the board holds an A and a K on the turn because Hero raised preflop).
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jmontis
Old 06-15-2005, 08:28 AM #11 (permalink)  
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the check raise is a glaring 2 pair/trips or AA/KK Most players are so weak and passive that a turn raise is the nuts or 2 pair...
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