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JeffreyGB
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10-19-2009, 07:26 PM
Post subject: Validity of HEM-PLO's EV Calc?
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Jenks, OK
Posts: 3,477
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According to the EV calculations in HEM for the ~11k hands I've gotten in, I'm at $700 below EV, primarily from the last 4.5k hands of PLO100 and ~500 hands at PLO200. How much weight should I give this when evaluating how things are going and/or what I should expect for the future?
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,515
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I've never seen one where a player ran above EV, I do have my doubts, but 11k hands is nowhere near enough when equity runs so close to each other. I'd focus on other aspects other than all-in EV, as that's not where your edge is going to come in PLO.
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drmcboy
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DrButtInski
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,565
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Yeah I pretty much ignore it after 1 pot where we got all but the last $10 in with him drawing to an off suit gutter which he made, so my EV for the hand was 0. I'll look at specific hands to make sure I knew where I was at of course but once you start looking at it over time I think it's a weird enough number it's better to spend our time elsewhere.
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