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Underfull (PLO)

  
 
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zenbitz
Old 04-29-2007, 06:02 PM     Post subject: Underfull (PLO) #1 (permalink)  
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zenbitz
Full Tilt Poker Game #2315130501: Table Hinke (6 max) - $0.05/$0.10 - Pot Limit Omaha - 13:52:18 ET - 2007/04/29
Seat 1: Capstr ($16.95)
Seat 3: dmoney0507 ($4.65)
Seat 4: zenbitz ($10.80)
Seat 5: schwarz269 ($9.90)
Seat 6: ziahawks ($2.50)
schwarz269 posts the small blind of $0.05
ziahawks posts the big blind of $0.10
dmoney0507 posts $0.10
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to zenbitz [7h 7d 4s 5s]
Capstr folds
Robster UK sits down
dmoney0507 has 15 seconds left to act
Robster UK adds $10
dmoney0507 checks
zenbitz calls $0.10
schwarz269 calls $0.05
ziahawks checks
*** FLOP *** [9d 7c 9c]
schwarz269 bets $0.40
ziahawks folds
dmoney0507 has 15 seconds left to act
dmoney0507 calls $0.40
zenbitz raises to $2
schwarz269 raises to $6.80
dmoney0507 calls $4.15, and is all in
zenbitz ...

No reads, but $10 PLO players are typically dopes.
I think I would play this more cautiously if there was only 1 villian. But at this point - they can't BOTH have the nuts, right?
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KoRnholio
Old 04-29-2007, 10:05 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 Full ring against 2 complete nits/nut peddlers I could possibly see a fold since one of them will surely have 97xx or 99xx.

But 5 handed against regular opponents you have to stack off here because it's highly likely that they each have just 9xxx or worse (say some kind of combo str8/flush draw). Here's what a typical equity equation would look like in this case (with them having a few missing outs since they each have a K and you have one of the 5's):

Omaha Hi: 666 enumerated boards containing 9c 7c 9d
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
5s 4s 7d 7h 289 43.39 377 56.61 0 0.00 0.434
Ks 9s Qc Ah 189 28.38 414 62.16 63 9.46 0.331
2s 5c Kd 9h 125 18.77 478 71.77 63 9.46 0.235

If every single one of their outs are live (very unlikely with 12 cards between the 3 of you), you aren't the favorite, but it's still +EV to call because of the money already in the pot:

Omaha Hi: 666 enumerated boards containing 9c 7c 9d
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
5s 4s 7d 7h 189 28.38 477 71.62 0 0.00 0.284
Ks 9s Qc Ah 279 41.89 387 58.11 0 0.00 0.419
8s 2c Td 9h 198 29.73 468 70.27 0 0.00 0.297
Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
 
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