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uhg...can't beat party 2/4

  
 
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Shark Bait
Old 10-05-2005, 03:26 AM     Post subject: uhg...can't beat party 2/4 #1 (permalink)  
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So I make the big move up to 2/4 and my first couple weeks I wasn't able to play too many hands because my main computer lost its hard drive so I was forced to one table on a laptop. But with awesome results:



I know this is clearly a lucky upswing, but it sure is nice. So I hook up a bigger monitor to my laptop so I can play 2 tables and I have some pretty good results over the next 2 weeks:



needless to say...things are just not going my way. AKs, AKo and AJs are losing money. I win all kinds of small pots, but lose almost all the big ones. Really makes me question the belief that it's about small pots. combine those and you get something like this:



After bonuses I'm still about where I started with party, but I just dropped below 300BB. I'm seriously considering going back to UB 1/2 and 2/4. At UB 1/2 I would very often make $100 a day. At party I'm usually losing $100 or more a day, and then one day of the week is positive. I'm not sure exactly what it is, but I have noticed the players on party are more aggressive. Sounds odd, but it is true.

I've also considered quitting completely, but I don't like that either. I know a lot of you would tell me to continue to grind it out at the same stakes and that 5,000 hands isn't that many. I would probably tell someone the same thing. But this is hard advice to follow when I'm playing fairly well and still losing every day.

I could post some hands, but I doubt you want to see nut flushes winning 2 BB pots and 20 BB pots snatched away by a 2 outter on the river.
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KoRnholio
Old 10-05-2005, 03:34 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I'm having kind of the same problem transitioning from 2/4 to 3/6 (at UB currently). My last session I was 2-tabling 3/6 and 1-tabling 2/4. I ended down $120 or so at 3/6 and up $100 at 2/4. Ridiculous :P

From your stats, it looks like you should raise more preflop. At 2/4 players will be more inclined to fold, and your raises will thin the field much more than at lower limits.

Blind stealing also becomes a much more viable strategy, only stealing the blinds 15% of the time is very low IMO. My steal % (across all sites at 2/4) is about 30%, which is probably a bit higher than it should be.
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Old 10-05-2005, 03:45 AM #3 (permalink)  
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you need to raise preflop and steal twice as much
 
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Shark Bait
Old 10-05-2005, 04:34 AM #4 (permalink)  
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On raising preflop:
I play it pretty much by the book (ssh) except in rare circumstances. The only thing that I've considered that can change the PFR is to stop open limping. The problem I have with this is those times that it gets 3 bet or capped and here I am with lowly ATo. So I guess the question is...should I try to eliminate the open limp?

The biggest factor in the lower PFR is that I'm folding a lot of hands that I would normally raise with because someone else has already raised. Like AQo, AJo, ATo, ATs, 99, etc. Seems like the only time I get a raise in is in EP and then I have a couple cold callers so I'm still in bad position. It seems difficult to get in good position with these hands.

On stealing:
I'll admit...I have nearly given up on stealing. I just do not understand how this can be profitable. Everyone knows what blind stealing is, they will 3 bet your raise with crap, check raise on the turn with anything and call down with bottom pair. I find myself risking 3-4 big bets in an attempt to steal less than 1.
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 04:47 AM #5 (permalink)  
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You're running bad and letting that effect your aggression. 2/4 is often a mixed game of players who are multi-tabling too tight and idiots. In this environment raising with position is highly rewarded because the blinds make marginal/bad pre-flop folds and the bad players play lukewarm/bad hands out of position and play them poorly post-flop. Finally, at that level there starts to be players using HUDs who are going to give you very little action with worse hands when they see numbers like that.

I destroy that game, but it's not uncommon for me to drop $200 really fast.

 
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 04:49 AM #6 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
Like AQo, AJo, ATo, ATs, 99, etc. Seems like the only time I get a raise in is in EP and then I have a couple cold callers so I'm still in bad position.
Some of those are 3-bets. Throw away the chart, heck rip it out and flush it down the toilet. Consider who is raising, from where, etc. and evaluate the value of your hand from there. Your game will thank you.

Also, stop limping out of position. JTs, QTs, 55, A5s, etc. are all mucks from early position unless you have command of your table. You'll get isolated and pressured too often at all but the best tables. Tend to raise or fold after a single limper, but it's another judgement call.

My openers:
EP: 77/KQ/AJ/ATs/KJs/QJs (note: only QJs is vulnerable to a LAggy 3-bet)
UTG+2 add ATo
HJ+1 add KJ/A9s/KTs/QTs/JTs
HJ add lots of stuff
CO add a lot more
BN steal
 
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Shark Bait
Old 10-05-2005, 05:43 AM #7 (permalink)  
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I have the biggest problem with the mid pocket pairs. You open raise with 77...how often does that win? Maybe if just the BB calls...but you know how often that happens.
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Old 10-05-2005, 05:52 AM #8 (permalink)  
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yea lately i have been getting man handled at 2/4 last couple weeks i'm not even going to post a number it was so bad i took this week completly off from playing poker i'm only crusing the forums and such so i don't loose toch with anyone...

Lets just say -200bb+ swings are fucking ugly!
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Old 10-05-2005, 07:54 AM #9 (permalink)  
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Ive never had a 200bb swing at party 2/4, it seems too soft for that to happen very often......
 
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 08:39 AM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trikflow77
Ive never had a 200bb swing at party 2/4, it seems too soft for that to happen very often......
A 200BB swing is just 4 50BB swings in a row or 2 100BB swings in a row. I've done both of those within a 100 hands in that game.

Also, we certainly have higher win-rates than the original poster, particularly in his current state of mind.
 
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 08:44 AM #11 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
You open raise with 77...how often does that win?
Often enough to be profitable. It's just not a hand that's going to play itself when you don't hit a set. Consider, that I pick up a lot of flops with hands like that when big cards flop and they put me on the wrong hand. Also when Ace-Big calls down or plays-back at me on board they didn't think hit me. Also, by being agressive I'll sometimes pick up a set on the turn or river to suck-out for a big pot I would have lost if I was less aggressive (then I'll rub it in for extra advertising value.) Finally, if I get 2+ cold callers and the blinds I'm going to be more inclined to check/fold a lot of flops and just let it go knowing I got my money worth by putting in an extra bet and it just didn't work out this time...

Focus on little things, a lot. I think a lot of my win-rate comes from finding ways to win small pots, getting in extra bets, find good spots to laydown when I know I'm beat and continue when I'm probably going to lose but will come out ahead in the long run. Finally, if you're in a bad seat at a lukewarm table, you're probably already fighting a losing battle.
 
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A'aag
Old 10-05-2005, 01:38 PM #12 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hyper
steal thrice as much
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Old 10-05-2005, 01:53 PM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A'aag
Quote:
Originally Posted by hyper
steal thrice as much
one step at a time. if he tries to play Fnord's style he will likely go on a even bigger downswing due to being way too uncomfortable.

from those stats Fnord is using conservative 6max stats in a full ring game.
 
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A'aag
Old 10-05-2005, 03:03 PM #14 (permalink)  
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What really helped me out in blind steal/defense situations was a few thousand hands HU on the micro tables. After getting comfortable there I could see how bad most full ring players are HU, and how to take advantage.
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pokerfanatic
Old 10-05-2005, 03:15 PM #15 (permalink)  
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my case was a mix of bad beats and bad mind set...
“Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today.” ~ James Dean ~

"Poker is a lot like sex, peoples perceived ability usually blinds the truth" ~ me ~

"God bless him. Got to bet big to win big! GAMB00L!!!" ~ Fnord
 
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elipsesjeff
Old 10-05-2005, 03:56 PM #16 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by |~|ypermegachi
Quote:
Originally Posted by A'aag
Quote:
Originally Posted by hyper
steal thrice as much
one step at a time. if he tries to play Fnord's style he will likely go on a even bigger downswing due to being way too uncomfortable.

from those stats Fnord is using conservative 6max stats in a full ring game.
Yep, in fact, this style annoys the fuck out of 2+2's 17/10 style and will kill all other levels, as I'm sure you are aware.


Check out my videos at Grinderschool.com

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pokerfanatic
Old 10-05-2005, 04:40 PM #17 (permalink)  
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i run about 16/9 and having a player like fnord or jrff at your table is deffently -EV damn laggs that play solid post flop
“Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today.” ~ James Dean ~

"Poker is a lot like sex, peoples perceived ability usually blinds the truth" ~ me ~

"God bless him. Got to bet big to win big! GAMB00L!!!" ~ Fnord
 
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 05:03 PM #18 (permalink)  
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Oh, if Maynard62N ever sits at your table, remember:

Say "HI MAYNARD" when he sits down.
Say "NH MAYNARD" when he raises pre-flop.

He really likes it when you do that.
 
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Shark Bait
Old 10-05-2005, 05:30 PM #19 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord
Oh, if Maynard62N ever sits at your table, remember:

Say "HI MAYNARD" when he sits down.
Say "NH MAYNARD" when he raises pre-flop.

He really likes it when you do that.
maynard46n2? I see him a lot. :P I try not to talk though.
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 05:46 PM #20 (permalink)  
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Yeah him. He's an action playa.
 
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pokerfanatic
Old 10-05-2005, 07:21 PM #21 (permalink)  
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this sounds like a who to tilt and how comment Fnord...
“Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today.” ~ James Dean ~

"Poker is a lot like sex, peoples perceived ability usually blinds the truth" ~ me ~

"God bless him. Got to bet big to win big! GAMB00L!!!" ~ Fnord
 
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koolmoe
Old 10-05-2005, 07:36 PM #22 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
On stealing:
I'll admit...I have nearly given up on stealing. I just do not understand how this can be profitable. Everyone knows what blind stealing is, they will 3 bet your raise with crap, check raise on the turn with anything and call down with bottom pair. I find myself risking 3-4 big bets in an attempt to steal less than 1.
Get a HUD (PokerAce, perhaps) and target the guys that fold their SB more than 75% and their BB more than 60%. Even the most timid player should be able to profit from raising these blinds, especially with position.

The key to stealing is to know your opponent and adjust accordingly.
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pokerfanatic
Old 10-05-2005, 07:49 PM #23 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by koolmoe
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
On stealing:
I'll admit...I have nearly given up on stealing. I just do not understand how this can be profitable. Everyone knows what blind stealing is, they will 3 bet your raise with crap, check raise on the turn with anything and call down with bottom pair. I find myself risking 3-4 big bets in an attempt to steal less than 1.
Get a HUD (PokerAce, perhaps) and target the guys that fold their SB more than 75% and their BB more than 60%. Even the most timid player should be able to profit from raising these blinds, especially with position.

The key to stealing is to know your opponent and adjust accordingly.
well don't raise the damn Button with out a hand if you think they will play back at you, it's real simple at 1/2 I got away with stealing from button to MP3 with the right types of tables... at 2/4 Button and CO I get played back at a ton, MP3 and even MP2 if you think you can get away with it might be a bettor chose since middle position most people raise with a stronger hand...

This is only speculation I haven’t really tried it much over enough hands to come out with a result...

Anyone have opinions on blind stealing @ 2/4 and up?
“Dream as if you’ll live forever. Live as if you’ll die today.” ~ James Dean ~

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Ltrain
Old 10-05-2005, 08:05 PM #24 (permalink)  
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At least at 2/4 where I play most of the time, you have to know your opponent and watch how they defend their blinds. You can play more straight forward with a poor player, but will have to go to level 3 thinking sometimes against good players (which they will not expect at this level in a full ring) and be willing to take the aggressive risk. For example, call the 3 bet PF slowly, raise his flop bet as a bluff, or better yet with a good semi-bluff draw like a 4 flush. If used with the right frequency, they will lose their motivation to fight you in future hands.
"Don't judge a man until you have walked a mile in his shoes. Then you are a mile away, and have his shoes." - Anon.
 
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euphoricism
Old 10-05-2005, 08:15 PM #25 (permalink)  
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2/4 is still ABC poker. I firmly believe those that try to get cute are the ones that are getting burned. Don't try and be tricky. Its not generally worth it, and it doesn't generally work.

Get PokerEDGE. Learn table selection. That is by far THE most important thing I have learned from Fnord. Table selection is SO INCREDIBLY FUCKING IMPORTANT.

Find a table full of fools who call down too much. Profit is gaurenteed to follow.



2/4 Blind Stealing:
If no one is in the pot, raise from HJ, raise from BTN.

A typical hand goes like this:
Hero has Any Two
8 folds, Hero raises
SB folds, BB calls.
Flop: Doesn't Matter
BB checks, Hero bets, BB folds.

Once in a while it'll go like this:
Dealt to Hero: Any two
Everyone folds to Hero
Hero Raises, SB calls, BB calls (Hero says, "fuck")
Flop: Doesn't help hero.
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets, SB folds, BB calls
Turn: Doesnt help.
BB checks, Hero checks behind
River: Doesn't help.
BB bets, Hero folds.

Its not rocket science here. Don't get into 'blind wars'. If you're properly selecting tables, this stuff is easy.

If you suspect HJ or BTN was stealing and you call from say the BB and hit ANY piece of the flop, YOU ARE MOST LIKELY AHEAD. Remember that. Check raise the flop and bet the turn. You'll take it 9 out of 10 times[/b]
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 08:24 PM #26 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ltrain
You can play more straight forward with a poor player, but will have to go to level 3 thinking sometimes against good players (which they will not expect at this level in a full ring) and be willing to take the aggressive risk.
I will call bullshit here.

I play so many hands because my opponents get out of line post-flop. It's a lot of fun to play that way too...

Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
Once in a while it'll go like this:
Dealt to Hero: Any two
Everyone folds to Hero
Hero Raises, SB calls, BB calls (Hero says, "fuck")
Flop: Doesn't help hero.
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets, SB folds, BB calls
Turn: Doesnt help.
BB checks, Hero checks behind
River: Doesn't help.
BB bets, Hero folds.
Depending on my cards/mood/opponent I'll bet/fold that turn a lot. A lot of players will auto-call the flop (they should call with a lot of hands that missed the board per HEFAP), so the turn bet will often take it down. The nice part about having nothing is that it's really easy to play against a turn check/raise.
 
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 08:35 PM #27 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfanatic
this sounds like a who to tilt and how comment Fnord...
I'm not sure it tilts him, often he just leaves.
 
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euphoricism
Old 10-05-2005, 08:59 PM #28 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Depending on my cards/mood/opponent I'll bet/fold that turn a lot. A lot of players will auto-call the flop (they should call with a lot of hands that missed the board per HEFAP), so the turn bet will often take it down. The nice part about having nothing is that it's really easy to play against a turn check/raise.
Yar.
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Shark Bait
Old 10-05-2005, 09:15 PM #29 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
A typical hand goes like this:
Hero has Any Two
8 folds, Hero raises
SB folds, BB calls.
Flop: Doesn't Matter
BB checks, Hero bets, BB folds.
from my experience, it rarely goes like this.
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thenonsequitur
Old 10-05-2005, 09:17 PM #30 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
from my experience, it rarely goes like this.
In the right seat it goes like this fairly often. You need to find a seat where the players to your left don't know how to defend their blinds.
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euphoricism
Old 10-05-2005, 10:24 PM #31 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
from my experience, it rarely goes like this.
You need to work on table selection. This is standard, and probably happens 1000 times a minute on the party network. Why aren't you getting a piece?
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Ltrain
Old 10-05-2005, 10:58 PM #32 (permalink)  
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[quote="Fnord"]
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ltrain
You can play more straight forward with a poor player, but will have to go to level 3 thinking sometimes against good players (which they will not expect at this level in a full ring) and be willing to take the aggressive risk.
Quote:
I will call bullshit here.
I play so many hands because my opponents get out of line post-flop. It's a lot of fun to play that way too...
The key word for me was sometimes, but yes, I don't get cute very often. Maybe once a session I read an opportunity for acting on what he thinks I have when blind stealing (bad players aren't thinking), and almost always with a semi-bluff draw to fall back on. Badly stated, I guess my point was that if you attempt to steal as much as advocated in this forum, you can't just automatically fold because the blinds play back at you, because your actions are encouraging them to do it.
"Don't judge a man until you have walked a mile in his shoes. Then you are a mile away, and have his shoes." - Anon.
 
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Fnord
Old 10-05-2005, 11:51 PM #33 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ltrain
you can't just automatically fold because the blinds play back at you, because your actions are encouraging them to do it.
In a 6 max game you're right because you will probably butt heads with them again a couple times. Full ring, that reasoning has less merit.
 
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Shark Bait
Old 10-08-2005, 07:50 AM #34 (permalink)  
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well I think I've discovered what may be the problem, for me at least. The players on UB are mostly TAPs. They are easy to beat up on and call to the river when they are severely behind. They often fold to continuation bets and are just very passive/weak.

typical players are 20/7/1.5 and 30/3/1.0

Basically you see the traditional TAGs and the ATMs that play too many hands and never show any aggression.

Party seems to be the opposite. At least the players I'm sitting with are. Most of them are very LAGgy. 15% PFR is common. Add in the also common "raise every hand and lose $200 in 30 minutes" player and things just go crazy.

Clearly the style of play that I have been using at UB, which is admittedly weaker than most players on FTR, is not working at party. I took a short break from party and went back to UB and it was just as easy as it always was, but the number of tables with players is just not enough for a serious online player.

I think the issues concerning my play have been addressed in this thread, it will just take me some time to adjust and see how it works out. But if anyone cares, this style was good for at least 3BB/100 at UB 1/2.

A lot of people have also mentioned seat selection, which I either don't do or have difficulty doing well. If I have time, I try to find a spot with several tight players to my left. Is this at least a good start? I know there's a lot more to it than that, and I'm not asking anyone to go into great detail since it's already been covered.

I do want to end up at party though...it will just take some time.
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euphoricism
Old 10-08-2005, 03:41 PM #35 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
well I think I've discovered what may be the problem, for me at least. The players on UB are mostly TAPs. They are easy to beat up on and call to the river when they are severely behind. They often fold to continuation bets and are just very passive/weak.

typical players are 20/7/1.5 and 30/3/1.0

Basically you see the traditional TAGs and the ATMs that play too many hands and never show any aggression.

Party seems to be the opposite. At least the players I'm sitting with are. Most of them are very LAGgy. 15% PFR is common. Add in the also common "raise every hand and lose $200 in 30 minutes" player and things just go crazy.

Clearly the style of play that I have been using at UB, which is admittedly weaker than most players on FTR, is not working at party. I took a short break from party and went back to UB and it was just as easy as it always was, but the number of tables with players is just not enough for a serious online player.

I think the issues concerning my play have been addressed in this thread, it will just take me some time to adjust and see how it works out. But if anyone cares, this style was good for at least 3BB/100 at UB 1/2.

A lot of people have also mentioned seat selection, which I either don't do or have difficulty doing well. If I have time, I try to find a spot with several tight players to my left. Is this at least a good start? I know there's a lot more to it than that, and I'm not asking anyone to go into great detail since it's already been covered.

I do want to end up at party though...it will just take some time.
Youre following the, "I want to play better players because they are easier because they know what they're doing" line. Its wrong, its false, youre fooling yourself, and hurting your winrate.

I remember UB being a bitch. Way too tight passive to pay you.

Seat selection: Below 2/4 I didn't worry too much about it. At 2/4, i've found it vital. Pay the $10 and get PokerEDGE. It works at UB if youre so insistant on playing there. Look for a table with as many fish as possible. Get the tightys on your left, and the fish on your right. The money will follow.
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Shark Bait
Old 10-08-2005, 10:23 PM #36 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
Youre following the, "I want to play better players because they are easier because they know what they're doing" line. Its wrong, its false, youre fooling yourself, and hurting your winrate.

I remember UB being a bitch. Way too tight passive to pay you.

Seat selection: Below 2/4 I didn't worry too much about it. At 2/4, i've found it vital. Pay the $10 and get PokerEDGE. It works at UB if youre so insistant on playing there. Look for a table with as many fish as possible. Get the tightys on your left, and the fish on your right. The money will follow.
I wouldn't say I'm following that line. I know I want to play bad players, and there are plenty of them at UB and party. It's just easier to take it from them when there isn't 5 LAGs involved.

Also, I do want to play at party. You pretty much have to if you want to multitable anything but micro limits.

looks like better seat selection will be the first thing I'll be working on...maybe just single tabling too.
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elipsesjeff
Old 10-09-2005, 03:59 AM #37 (permalink)  
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For the most part, euphorism is correct and Fnord obviously too. I will continue:

Table selection is important, blah blah blah. Blind Stealing/defending is rather easy when you think about the actions at hand. Its either bet/call/check/fold at any one point. you would never fold a made hand, you would never call without a made hand, you would not check unless you don't have a hand. When to bet is the million dollar question, which, you could do worse than betting every round but folding to a raise without a made hand. Remember, you can when without a made hand on the river by checking behind, especially if you don't have an Ace.

2/4 is nothing butABC poker anyway, to tell you teh truth, i've only used table selection at 3/6 and above. You don't realize how much 2/4 is ABC poker until you don't play it anymore. I wish 15/30 was as ABC poker as 2/4 is, it would be much, much, easier.


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Shark Bait
Old 10-09-2005, 07:43 AM #38 (permalink)  
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Story of my party 2/4 experience:

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, A.
UTG raises, 3 folds, CO calls, 1 fold, Hero calls, BB calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 3, A, J (4 players)
Hero bets, BB calls, UTG raises, CO calls, Hero calls, BB calls.

Turn: (8 BB) 9 (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets, CO calls, Hero calls, BB calls.

River: (12 BB) 6 (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets, CO folds, Hero calls, BB folds.

Final Pot: 14 BB

Results in white below:
Hero has Qd Ac (one pair, aces).
UTG has Jc As (two pair, aces and jacks).
Outcome: UTG wins 14 BB.



Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K, Q.
3 folds, MP2 calls, Hero raises, 1 fold, Button calls, 2 folds, MP2 calls.

Flop: (7.50 SB) Q, T, 9 (3 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets, Button calls, MP2 calls.

Turn: (5.25 BB) 6 (3 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets, Button folds, MP2 raises, Hero calls.

River: (9.25 BB) Q (2 players)
MP2 bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 11.25 BB

Results in white below:
MP2 has 4s As (flush, ace high).
Hero has Kd Qh (three of a kind, queens).
Outcome: MP2 wins 11.25 BB.


real ABC poker

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, K.
4 folds, MP3 calls, 1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, MP3 calls.

Flop: (5.50 SB) 8, J, 3 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets, MP3 raises, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.75 BB) 6 (2 players)
MP3 bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 5.75 BB

Results in white below:
No showdown. MP3 wins 5.75 BB.



Blind steal? I used to fold this...

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9, A.
7 folds, Hero raises, 1 fold, BB calls.

Flop: (4.50 SB) Q, J, 4 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.25 BB) A (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises, BB calls.

River: (8.25 BB) J (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 8.25 BB

Results in white below:
BB has Qh Ac (two pair, aces and queens).
Hero has 9h Ad (two pair, aces and jacks).
Outcome: BB wins 8.25 BB.


And with that...I am done with party 2/4...$1,000 poorer. Please no reassuring words...I give up.
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euphoricism
Old 10-09-2005, 08:13 AM #39 (permalink)  
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Hand 1: *yawn* Standard. Though, I'm not sure I'd lead out here. Youve got to think youre ahead, and I might go for a checkraise, depening on who UTG is. A threebet would tell me where I am.
Hand 2: *yawn* Standard.
Hand 3: *yawn* Standard.
Hand 4: *yawn* Standard.

These are mild-beats and happen to absolutely everyone several times every day. I will firmly say, these are probably NOT where you are losing the bulk of your money, they just seem that way.
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Shark Bait
Old 10-09-2005, 08:44 AM #40 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
*yawn* Standard.
Exactly. Except this is how most hands have gone. How can I go to showdown 32% and only win 40% or less? Yeah everyone gets these all the time, but a majority of my hands end up like that, or I win the worlds smallest pot. The only other place I would say the money is going is that I rarely get paid off on my monsters. OK, it's about small pots...but you still need those monster hands winning something.

I played 250 hands tonight and only paid $5 in rake. That's how good it was.

yuck...even I'm starting to get sick of my whining.
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Demiparadigm
Old 10-09-2005, 09:46 AM #41 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
*yawn* Standard.
Exactly. Except this is how most hands have gone. How can I go to showdown 32% and only win 40% or less? Yeah everyone gets these all the time, but a majority of my hands end up like that, or I win the worlds smallest pot. The only other place I would say the money is going is that I rarely get paid off on my monsters. OK, it's about small pots...but you still need those monster hands winning something.

I played 250 hands tonight and only paid $5 in rake. That's how good it was.

yuck...even I'm starting to get sick of my whining.
You too tight!
Raise more!

Yes, all the above are standard.
I agree there is no way this is where you are losing your money.

If you are not getting action on your re4al hands, and only getting action when you are beat, there may be a reason.

*HINT: It's not 'cuz Party's rigged.
To win in poker you only need to be one step ahead of your opponents. Two steps may be detrimental.
 
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euphoricism
Old 10-09-2005, 11:41 PM #42 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shark Bait
OK, it's about small pots...but you still need those monster hands winning something.
Several would say the exact opposite is true. The small pots pay the rake and keep you even. The big hands are the profit. Looking at my database, there seems to be some truth to that.

Over the last 20k hands, I am +$3,246

AA = +$1,284
KK = +$1,156
AKo = +$1,038
------
Total: $3,478

(AKs, actually, is only +100. That is quite the odd statistical quirk.. but I've only had it 66 times.)
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Fnord
Old 10-10-2005, 12:19 AM #43 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by euphoricism
Several would say the exact opposite is true. The small pots pay the rake and keep you even. The big hands are the profit. Looking at my database, there seems to be some truth to that.
Big pots keep you even. Everyone gets big hands in about the same amounts over the long run. The small pots, stolen pots, protected pots, river value bet/raises, etc. bring home the bacon.
 
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euphoricism
Old 10-10-2005, 07:47 PM #44 (permalink)  
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Well, we're both right -- especially since I agree with you and was only mentioning what 'other people' have mentioned.

Long term everyone gets "big cards" equally, but if youre around long enough to get them enough times you'll clearly make the bulk of your money from them. AA is far more profitable than 72o afterall, so that stands to reason.

However if youre comparing person As profit to person Bs profit -- the person who steals more effectively and who can protect pots, etc, will be more profitable. That doesnt mean, however, that person A can't be profitable because he doesn't steal as effectively -- he'll simply be less profitable.
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