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Hermann the Lombard
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09-16-2007, 05:32 AM
Post subject: Two flush draws
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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First hand:
PokerStars 0.02/0.04 Hold'em (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 4 , J . CO posts a blind of $0.03.
2 folds, MP1 calls, 1 fold, MP3 calls, CO (poster) checks, Button calls, SB completes, Hero checks.
Flop: (6.50 SB) K , 9 , 6 (6 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, MP1 calls, MP3 folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls.
Turn: (5.25 BB) 7 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, MP1 raises, CO folds, SB folds, Hero calls.
River: (9.25 BB) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets, Hero folds.
Final Pot: 9.25 BB
I was ostensibly betting for value until the flush didn't come in. My call on the turn seems especially dubious.
The second hand was later in the same session.
PokerStars 0.02/0.04 Hold'em (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Preflop: Hero is SB with A , 8 .
1 fold, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, 1 fold, CO calls, 1 fold, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: (5 SB) 2 , 7 , 9 (5 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, CO bets, Hero calls, BB calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls.
Turn: (5 BB) 7 (5 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, CO bets, Hero calls, BB folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds.
River: (8 BB) 7 (3 players)
Hero bets, UTG+1 folds, CO calls.
Final Pot: 10 BB
Afterwards I felt like I had been totally focused on my hand and my possibilities and totally oblivious to what the villain might have. Well, I was oblivious but were my actions that bad even if my thought process was?
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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Hand1: Betting a draw on the turn is only useful if you think everyone may fold to a bet. Against three opponents at this level that will happen about 0.001% of the time. Check and call.
Hand2: You're behind any 2, 7, 9, or pp here on the river. Check and make a crying call. Fold to a bet and a raise.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
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Hand 1) Your draw is not to that strong a flush, as soon as you get callers here you should suspect you could be drawing dead. Be careful. Whenever there's an ace or king then betting from the big blind is unlikely to win you the pot. I try and see the turn and river for free, and if a club hits I tread lightly...
Hand 2) check call or check fold this river. Be careful with paired boards and flushes, be even more careful when trips are on the board
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Hermann the Lombard
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by DrivingDog
Hand1: Betting a draw on the turn is only useful if you think everyone may fold to a bet. Against three opponents at this level that will happen about 0.001% of the time. Check and call.
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How about if I was drawing to the nuts and thought I might get all three opponents to call? [Assume that we don't have a paired board.] Wouldn't that be a +EV bet?
Meanwhile, on #2 I guess it was stupid to bet that river!
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daven
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: soaking up ethanol, moving on up
Posts: 5,805
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Remember this?
http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...oker-60040.htm
and especially
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
If you never jammed a draw on the turn, you're at worst making a trivial error.
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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You're 35% likely to complete the flush with two cards to come and 19% likely with one card to come. Since your putting in 25% of the bets with three opponents, every bet that goes in on the flop is +EV and every bet that goes in on the turn is -EV.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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Hermann the Lombard
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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Thanks. I suppose it's kiddie level EV calc but I didn't think it through.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by daven
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Sorry, Daven, my memory doesn't go back that far (one whole week) anymore.
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