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Turn Donk :O

  
 
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Harry
Old 08-06-2006, 03:50 AM     Post subject: Turn Donk :O #1 (permalink)  
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Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 8, 8.
UTG calls, Hero raises, 3 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: (5.50 SB) 4, 7, 4 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets, UTG calls.

Turn: (3.75 BB) 6 (2 players)
UTG bets, Hero calls.

River: (5.75 BB) 7 (2 players)
UTG bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 7.75 BB

Villain 60/10 or something like that, 1.4 AF.

I figure he either has air or a monster, but I think he would have c/r'd a monster. Calling down the correct thing here? If I raise the turn, he 3-bets and I lose 2 bets when I'm behind, and he folds when I'm ahead, right?
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dsaxton
Old 08-06-2006, 05:35 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Easy raise (particularly after picking up a gutshot), and call down a 3-bet. You're giving a calling station way too much credit if you think he folds whenever he's behind on the turn.
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midas06
Old 08-06-2006, 11:18 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I play it the same
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thenonsequitur
Old 08-08-2006, 04:22 AM     Post subject: Re: Turn Donk :O #4 (permalink)  
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I think his most likely holdings are things like 5x, A6, A7, or other mediocre holdings (as opposed to a monster or air). So I raise the donk bet. I think he will usually call down when behind with one of these hands rather than folding. If he calls, I bet the river too. If he 3-bets I call down.
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elipsesjeff
Old 08-08-2006, 04:40 AM #5 (permalink)  
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I raise here more often than not. But i've been known to call down with a read or running bad.


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Xanadu
Old 08-09-2006, 12:23 AM #6 (permalink)  
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So, with an aggression factor so low as 1.4, what makes you think you aren't beat? With that AF read, just looking at the flop, I was thinking 99-JJ or 77 after he led out the turn.
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elipsesjeff
Old 08-09-2006, 01:14 AM #7 (permalink)  
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1.4 isnt THAT low


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