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TPTK river call/raise decision

  
 
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spoonitnow
Old 06-03-2006, 08:42 PM     Post subject: TPTK river call/raise decision #1 (permalink)  
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PokerStars 0.50/1.00 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K, A.
3 folds, Hero raises, SB 3-bets, 1 fold, Hero caps, SB calls.

Flop: (9 SB) 5, A, 4 (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.50 BB) 3 (2 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, SB calls.

River: (9.50 BB) J (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 11.50 BB

Villian is 48/17 over about 100 hands, other than that I don't know much about him. It seemed like he improved on the river since he didn't 3-bet the turn, but led out on the river. I don't think the range of hands I have him on justifies a reraise, (by the river I'm thinking AT+ or so, with a lot of weight for AJ), but the pot odds make it seem like I can't fold. Any help?
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Xanadu
Old 06-03-2006, 08:52 PM #2 (permalink)  
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You are right you can't fold. That would be a horrible mistake. I think you played the whole hand just right. He may have just called the turn to try to get you to raise the river for a 3-bet.
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thenonsequitur
Old 06-04-2006, 07:45 AM     Post subject: Re: TPTK river call/raise decision #3 (permalink)  
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thenonsequitur
He may have improved to just one pair of jacks (KJ or QJ for example). Even so I think it's a lot more likely he has a hand that beats you often enough that I'd just call too. Even an uber-lag won't usually try to pull this line with an ace on board and a pair less than an ace, and this guy is far from an uber-lag. He might try it with a weaker Ax but I don't think often enough to make raising worthwhile.
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