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Thin river value raise.

  
 
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dsaxton
Old 08-05-2006, 03:04 AM     Post subject: Thin river value raise. #1 (permalink)  
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dsaxton
No read aside from knowing he open limps.

Too thin?

PokerStars 5/10 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, 9.
1 fold, MP calls, 1 fold, Hero raises, 2 folds, MP calls.

Flop: (5.40 SB) K, 3, 8 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets, MP calls.

Turn: (3.70 BB) 2 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks.

River: (3.70 BB) 9 (2 players)
MP bets, Hero raises
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midas06
Old 08-05-2006, 06:38 AM #2 (permalink)  
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if you can fold to a 3bet
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euphoricism
Old 08-05-2006, 08:09 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Its pretty thin. If you think that your 9 would be good (therefore he doesn't have a K -- ignoring that villain might limp some 8x junk), you should fire a turn bet and not let him have a free look at the river to beat you.

Folding to a threebet should be a no-brainer. Villains will just call with Kx, even villains with K3 or K8 are just calling a majority of the time -- particularly weak ones like the kind who limp under the gun -- If he threebets, you better run like hell.
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Xanadu
Old 08-09-2006, 12:18 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Xanadu
Against the right players this is a solid river value bet, and I do this often. Second pair top kicker on the end when your opponent has shown weakness is a fairly strong hand heads up at a short table. I often recommend against folding to raises on the end to prevent opponents from getting the idea that you can be bluff-raised. In this case, folding to a 3bet isn't so bad and may actually help you gain some value metagame-wise (but against a very strong, ovbservant opponent, you should probably call no matter how sure you are that you are beat).
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