Originally Posted by scarface_0001

Maybe I should play tighter? The chart I use says to open-raise from the BU with 22, A2s, K2s, Q6s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 86s, 76s, A2, K5, Q8, J9, T8, 98. I don't feel I have too much FE with the players I play. A lot of them will call with A hi or K hi until the river. When I'm HU I cbet every time. And when I have 2 opponents I also cbet over 90% of time. And usually if I have at least A hi I also 2 barrel against one opponent, especially if I have position.

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I think I am even a small winner but I have had 60-70BB downswings at micro limits in a single day with players worse than me. Upswings? I never had a 60-70BB upswing in only one day.

Originally Posted by asdpikas

sample size is too small, but, maybe ur not getting full value on your hands?

Originally Posted by asdpikas

as for swings, 60-70BB isnt that much.
Today I played 1100 hands of FR and after 300 hands was down 55BB, in the end I made a profit.

It is the equivalent of 2.5 buyins, if u've never encountered that kind of swings in NL, u haven't played enough hands by a long shot.

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I had more than 2.5 BI swings in NL but because my opponents are weak (I play NL on 888)

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

Is there a program that shows me what the probability to have a downswing in 10K hands or in 100K hands is if I know my SD and WR?

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I couldn't believe it when I read on DC that downswings of +300BB are possible even for a winning player and that a 1BB/100 winner had downswings that lasted 100K hands.

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I couldn't believe it when I read on DC that downswings of +300BB are possible even for a winning player

Originally Posted by asdpikas

This is untrue (regardless of where u play). You may have inevitable hands that u lose regardless of how your opponents play. Getting AA vs KK, mid set vs top set, flush vs nut flush....

These can create downswings as much as the random suckouts from bad play. Happened to me today

Originally Posted by asdpikas

I had a downswing of 350BBs at 6max that lasted 45k hands. It happens. I dont see how it seems so unlikely.

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I don't think poker is for me. 45K hands means 3-4 month for me.

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

Usually when I have a hand I bet bet bet on all streets if my opponent doesn't raise. I almost never slowplay. Sometimes I wait for the turn to raise my opponent's donkbet or for the river (usually for the turn) if I have position with good hands. Only in heads-up pots. I don't think I don't get full value on my hands. I think I calldown too much on the river when my opponent raises. Even if I know there are high chances I'm beat sometimes I can't fold for one more bet.

Originally Posted by Chopper

bet/bet/bet lines dont mean you are maxxing value. what do you do when your villain raises for a free card?

Originally Posted by Chopper

here is a spot. do you try your best to get as much money in on this river, or are you thinking he has AT when he raises our donk lead?

Originally Posted by scarface_0001

I also 3-bet the river. There are many hands I beat (2 pairs, smaller sets). He would also raise the river with these hands. And if this was a hand from my games I would eliminate AT from his range after his turn raise if he is an unknown. 99% players from the games I played wouldn't raise the turn with AT. And I like the donkbet more than a c-raise. In my games there are high chances that villain will not check behind the river, but c-raise is a stronger move than donkbet so he will probably just call with 2 pair. (I'm speaking about the typycal villain from my games). But if I bet he will raise with 2 pair most of the time and I can 3bet making him pay 3 bets instead of only 2.