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Strange KQo hand

  
 
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Phyl
Old 06-13-2005, 07:49 AM     Post subject: Strange KQo hand #1 (permalink)  
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MP2 seems to be fairly TAG, playing fairly solid and hasn't done anything stupid since I've been at the table.

Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q, K. MP3 posts a blind of $10. CO posts a blind of $10.
3 folds, Hero raises, MP2 3-bets, 5 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: (9.50 SB) Q, K, A (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.75 BB) J (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets, Hero folds...

What do you think?
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Fnord
Old 06-13-2005, 08:09 AM #2 (permalink)  
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Yeah, I think you gotta lay that down too. I only would think twice because of all of the dead money.

edit: Reminds me of a recent B&M game.

I have AKo and raise. 3 or so callers.

Flop is K-J-rag

I bet, fishy big blind calls.

Turn is a Q.

big blind check raises and I fold.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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TylerK
Old 06-13-2005, 09:13 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Talk about the worst possible turn card.
TylerK: its just gambling if i want to worry about money i'll go to work lol
 
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Phyl
Old 06-13-2005, 11:24 AM #4 (permalink)  
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What about the flop?

Before the Jack came my plan was to check/call all streets unimproved, good?
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TylerK
Old 06-13-2005, 12:45 PM #5 (permalink)  
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That was my original thought, but I'm actually not too sure now. Any guesses as to MP2's range to 3bet here? If it's fairly reasonable, you're not even looking too good on the flop.

Board: Ah Kh Qd
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 53.8300 % 50.11% 03.72% { TT+, AJs+, KQs, AKo }
Hand 2: 46.1700 % 42.45% 03.72% { KdQh }

Obviously with the J on the turn, your equity drops terrifyingly against this range.

I think this is a hand where you really need to have a read on whether MP2 is capable of making a silly move, and how often that might happen. Otherwise you're probably good to fold the flop. However, that being said, I also would plan to check/call to showdown if I were put on the spot to play this hand.
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jmontis
Old 06-15-2005, 08:41 AM #6 (permalink)  
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you have 4 outs to the boat, don't be a bitch

kidding, fold
take your ego out of the equation and judge the situation dispassionately
 
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journey075
Old 06-15-2005, 10:39 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmontis
you have 4 outs to the boat, don't be a bitch

hahahahahaha
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