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Sometimes, you feel like a nut. Sometimes, you don't.
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showboatlou
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03-25-2008, 04:32 AM
Post subject: Sometimes, you feel like a nut. Sometimes, you don't.
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#1 (permalink)
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I saw a statistic one time in a poker book and it facinated me...I predict, eleven, +/-.... Take a deck of cards and count the number of flops you get. There will be 17, with one card extra. Shuffle the deck and do it again but now, make a pile with flops that contain two cards connected. Make a pile with two suited. (Being connected does not matter). Add the number of flops that contain these features. It should be around, 11. I don't count flops with pairs. The other flops sometimes, contain K-8-2 or, cards close by. Math guy's, should have a field day with this one because well, they can do more math. I just like the idea that over half the flops in a poker game favor straight and flush draws. Regularly! This is where pot odds and just the pricinciples of, Risk vs. Reward come in. To each his own. Sometimes, I feel like a nut. Sometimes, I don't...
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Suited and connected cards are cool and all, but AKo is still more profitable than JTs.
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showboatlou
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Point well taken.... I like to play a lot of hands so, I'd see the flop with either. Sometimes, I raise with either hand. Somtimes, I call.... The wrong three cards on the flop can ruin any good starting hand including, aces. It's hard to hit flops. Randomness, is a great equalizer. Just as an example if, 6-7- 4 rainbow hit the board, I'd have to let JTs and AKo go, in most cases. Position is a big factor here among other things... Here's the point; What misses you often hits, someone else. Do you know why they say; "Any two cards can win".?. Because, it's true. Just, not those two hands mentioned above, with a horrible full table flop. It happens plenty. Being discardable is part of their value. It's just part of doing business. I'll get'em next time...
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You don't "see the flop" with AKo, you raise.
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showboatlou
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04-01-2008, 09:59 AM
Post subject: Sometimes I don't.
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#5 (permalink)
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Being predictable the very best way to lose money in poker. FNORD, addresses missing with cards like these; this very issue, in his poker theorems. See what he said.... I will initiate a post in the future along the same line of reasoning. It will be called: Betting into the black hole of poker. For every time there is a season. For every thing, there is a reason. I like being unreadable. To each his own.
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I can't read your cards if you raise. You can have anything.
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showboatlou
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04-02-2008, 10:36 AM
Post subject: Betting into the black hole of poker.................
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#7 (permalink)
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(Original text withdrawn). If you're going to steal don't do it in slow motion. I got a case off ass right now. I'll write about this again someday. You can buy the book or, figure it out yourself. I gave it out free first. Never forget that.
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arborman
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 300
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Commas, are a valuable, tool, but not if, overused.
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