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Set of aces, drawful board
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Hermann the Lombard
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10-10-2007, 05:26 PM
Post subject: Set of aces, drawful board
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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PokerStars 0.05/0.10 Hold'em (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A , A .
UTG raises, Hero 3-bets, MP1 calls, 3 folds, SB calls, 1 fold, UTG caps, Hero calls, MP1 calls, SB calls.
Flop: (17 SB) Q , A, J (4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, Hero raises, MP1 folds, SB 3-bets, UTG calls, Hero...
UTG is a gambler: 88/33/0.6, and I've seen her make a PFR with QTs in MP and with K7o in MP she called a PFR and then raised on a flop of 753r. So if she can PFR with QTs she certainly can cap it with KT...but somehow I don't think she has it (yet).
SB: Not much info at all. Very few hands, 25/0 and no notes.
So...cap or call? Then what's the plan if a blank falls on the turn? How about a Ten?
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
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CAP IT BABY
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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You have to like your chances here. UTG is a bit of a 'tard and could have pretty much anything. There's a lot of hands SB could be going nuts with and KT is only one of them. AQ, AJ, QQ, JJ are all candidates. If you're ahead, you're way ahead and if even you're behind you have 9 or 10 outs to the nuts. Almost certain you're ahead now so capping seems right.
If a T or K comes on the turn well then you might have to slow down, but any blank, Q, or J I'd say keep ramming and jamming. Spade might be trouble if it gets bet and raised into you but you still have to stay in a huge pot with ten outs.
I'd say in this situation you'll end up winning the hand a good 80% of the time if not more, so get as much money in on the flop as you can while you're almost certainly ahead.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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KoRnholio
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,165
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Hammer away. No one is folding any draw they have, so get as many bets in as you can.
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Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
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