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Reverse implied odds in action

  
 
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outphase
Old 01-07-2006, 10:55 PM     Post subject: Reverse implied odds in action #1 (permalink)  
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Something about the flop donkbet said to me "get out now!" I came to the conclusion that MP1 had me dominated with AK or AQ, but the real deciding factor is the donkbet. Into a 3betted preflop, 4way flop, the donkbet screams "I have you beat," so i figured even if I hit one of my over cards I'm likely beat despite having a huge pot for only 1 bet. Thoughts?

PokerStars 3/6 Hold'em (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A, J.
UTG calls, Hero raises, MP1 3-bets, 4 folds, BB calls, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (12.33 SB) 9, T, 6 (4 players)
BB bets, UTG calls, Hero folds...
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Originally Posted by lambchopdc
Lets stop talking ABC poker and move on to D, E, and F.
 
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Xanadu
Old 01-08-2006, 07:42 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Between the AT, A9, A6, T9, TT, 99, and 66 that BB could have plus possible straight and flush draws, plus the fact that the preflop aggressor has yet to act, the fold gets my vote. I'd take one off if it closed the action though.
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pokerfanatic
Old 01-08-2006, 07:59 PM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Xanadu
Between the AT, A9, A6, T9, TT, 99, and 66 that BB could have plus possible straight and flush draws, plus the fact that the preflop aggressor has yet to act, the fold gets my vote. I'd take one off if it closed the action though.
BB could be calling with really 55-AA, AK-A8 (maybe A7-A5s depends but calling 2 w/o a big hand is a sing of a bad player, got reads?) When BB donks out I figure AA-99 still there, AK-AQs with the draw, maybe some mid AXs that has the draw... so though you might be ahead to only a draw a lot of his hands have you dominated to win the pot... only thing you have that you can beat and I don't know how often you opponent even holds a hand like A9-5s and misses the draw without pairing seems like too much to ask for to me, those making this an easy fold...
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Xanadu
Old 01-08-2006, 08:42 PM #4 (permalink)  
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You think it's a clear fold even closing the action?
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