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QQ vs the table rock

  
 
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Fnord
Old 05-19-2005, 01:19 AM     Post subject: QQ vs the table rock #1 (permalink)  
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Villian is a rock. PokerEdge has him at 5% PFR. I've yet to see him raise pre-flop in over 50 hands.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Fnord is UTG+1 with Q, Q.
1 fold, Fnord raises, 3 folds, MP3 3-bets, 4 folds, Fnord calls.

Flop: (7.33 SB) 3, A, 6 (2 players)
Fnord checks, MP3 bets, Fnord folds.

Final Pot: 4.16 BB
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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Phyl
Old 05-19-2005, 08:19 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I don't like it. With a 5% PFR he could be raising TT or JJ here so you could still be ahead.

Also, a rock might fold KK to a single bet on this flop.
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Fnord
Old 05-19-2005, 08:39 AM #3 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Phyl
Also, a rock might fold KK to a single bet on this flop.
That's a stretch. I find tight online players often over-play their hands. My guess is that they get bored and then liven up when they have something to play. A weak lead would get zero respect, I'd have to at least check/raise the flop and lead the turn to represent an Ace. Fuck it, rock can have the pot.

Hmmm....

83,902,896 games 0.078 secs 1,075,678,153 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 55.0378 % [ 00.54 00.01 ] { QdQc }
Hand 2: 44.9622 % [ 00.44 00.01 ] { AA-TT, AKs-AQs, AKo-AQo }


73,629,072 games 0.078 secs 943,962,461 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 51.3360 % [ 00.50 00.01 ] { QdQc }
Hand 2: 48.6640 % [ 00.47 00.01 ] { AA-JJ, AKs-AQs, AKo-AQo }

Pre-flop actually looks ok.


39,600 games 0.046 secs 860,869 games/sec

Board: As 6s 3c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 32.4280 % [ 00.31 00.01 ] { QdQc }
Hand 2: 67.5720 % [ 00.66 00.01 ] { AA-TT, AKs-AQs, AKo-AQo }


33,660 games 0.016 secs 2,103,750 games/sec

Board: As 6s 3c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 22.3752 % [ 00.21 00.01 ] { QdQc }
Hand 2: 77.6248 % [ 00.76 00.01 ] { AA-JJ, AKs-AQs, AKo-AQo }

27,720 games 0.005 secs 5,544,000 games/sec

Board: As 6s 3c
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 26.2608 % [ 00.25 00.02 ] { QdQc }
Hand 2: 73.7392 % [ 00.72 00.02 ] { AA-JJ, AKs, AKo }


Yeah, it's really close. My hope was that by not capping I could get away from an Axx flop. Hmm... also consider that I'm out of position allowing him to save a bet when I'm ahead (unless I go for the river gaybet.... meh)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBvge-c2_Xg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-Xz8aLuD7Y
 
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