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Pocket pair making a set and getting beaten

  
 
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hancock0
Old 09-30-2008, 10:31 PM     Post subject: Pocket pair making a set and getting beaten #1 (permalink)  

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hancock0
What are the odds of pocket tens or higher making a set, then they get beaten?
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bigspenda73
Old 09-30-2008, 10:41 PM #2 (permalink)  
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 no way can we answer this question w/o a lot more info
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asdpikas
Old 09-30-2008, 10:44 PM #3 (permalink)  
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does not compute
additional information needed

chances of making a set on flop = 12%
chances of making a set on each additional street = 4% each

chances of having the set beat clearly depends on opponents hand.

If he has an underpair (same suits) he will need quads or a 4card straight

If he has SCs (you dont block his suits and your set card is a part of his straight) he is not so bad

If he has an overpair to your pair and didnt make a set on flop, he will have 8% chance of making a better set, plus any runner runner draws...
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DrivingDog
Old 10-01-2008, 03:43 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Surprising.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,895,987 games 12.964 secs 146,250 games/sec

Board: Tc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 81.414% 81.31% 00.13% 1541630 2430.25 { ThTs }
Hand 1: 06.197% 05.75% 00.45% 109027 8511.08 { random }
Hand 2: 06.213% 05.77% 00.45% 109305 8522.58 { random }
Hand 3: 06.175% 05.73% 00.45% 108667 8454.08 { random }
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