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dev
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07-13-2009, 05:23 PM
Post subject: Odd spot in an odd tourney
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#1 (permalink)
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: swonging and swonging
Posts: 1,550
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So a few weeks back I played a partners tournament. My partner sat down and played limit holdem, then when the blinds changed I sat down and played O8b. It was a 'survivor' tourney, which meant that the payout structure is that of a satellite, but with cash prizes.
The payouts were 4k,4k,4k,$222 per team and there were 4 teams left.
The stacks were as follows:
BU 75k (me)
SB 40k (wierd loose-passive donk)
BB 45k (good player)
UTG 25k (ok player)
The limit was 8k-16k
UTG ships 25k, there's 12k in the pot from the blinds and no antes.
I look down at :Ad::Js: 
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drmcboy
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DrButtInski
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,601
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since you're AI even if he has a 'bad' hand you aren't a big favorite, hands run really close in O8. KT64 is 57/43 (you fav obv), 55/44 vs AT46. Even against AT53 it's 60/40. Also it would suck if someone behind you has A2xx/A3xx and UTG has a high hand.
so given all that I would pass and hope someone gets broke/crippled next few hands. If you end up having to gamble you can always do it when you get down around 40k and it won't be a spot much worse than this, and if you are first in it will probably be better.
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TLR
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Moderator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 5,007
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with this payout structure I think it is a fold
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dev
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: swonging and swonging
Posts: 1,550
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I actually did call this. I figured it was really hard for someone to scoop against this hand and he was probably shoving randoms. He had tstc6h5s, scooped and we chopped the tourney 4 ways.
I questioned it for days afterward and used a calculator to check where we stood. He was about 25% to scoop with something in the low 40s equity. It seems to me if I fold a 4 way chop would still be the most likely result.
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05-26-2012, 03:08 PM Australia Legalized Online Poker coming up in next 6 to 12 Months
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