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sk8r_daniel
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12-17-2009, 01:24 AM
Post subject: Monster aces turned bad?
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 330
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With only a potbet left behind I think I have to just shove but I am still relatively new to the game so I'm not quite sure if I could check call here. How often do you think he winds up with a random 7 here? My first impression was that he probably had lower spades/wrap draw and that is why he didn't raise on the flop.
.25/.5 PLO
Eff stack = 88$
Hero is in BB with AsAd8d6s
utg bets 1.75
CO calls
Hero raises to 7.25
UTG calls
Flop (~19$) 7s 9h 2s
Hero bets $19
UTG calls
Turn ($60) 7h
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sk8r_daniel
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Flush
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 330
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So I crunched a few different combinations and if he has:
7+spades I am ~25%
spades+straiight draw ~75%
Some other combinations like JsJhTd8s I am a huge favourite of 85% Obviously against slowplayed sets I am a huge dog with 2 outs.
So it looks like I am still way ahead of his range because I think the bulk of it is still wrap/flush draws.
Since my hand is basically marked as aces, could I check to induce a bluff with the intention of calling? It seems like a good spot for villain to bluff since it looks like aces has completely whiffed and Hero doesn't want to continue if he checks turn.
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drmcboy
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DrButtInski
Administrator
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,601
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I would bet because I think he's usually drawing and might check back then fold river. If he has a 7 and you miss he's getting the money either way so you may as well get it when he misses.
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eberetta1
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One Pair
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Cambridge Minnesota
Posts: 23
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you bet too wild for my taste. I would assume on the flop he had pocket 2's. The only reason he would call you ($7.25 raise). You
don't chase a draw in Omaha(because there are 2 flush possibilities here, hearts and spades). You did not say if you were playing hi/lo. If you were, I would assume he would have an Ace 3 in his hand.
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baudib
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,233
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wat
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Playing big pots at small stakes.
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
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I'd c/bomb flop
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