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Missed value bet?

  
 
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overflow
Old 12-24-2007, 02:02 AM     Post subject: Missed value bet? #1 (permalink)  
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Wasn't sitting long enough to have stats on players, assume standard bad microstakes players. Did I miss a value bet on the end here, or am I correct in assuming I get raised often enough to flatcall.

Absolute Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $0.02/$0.04
5 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with A A
UTG calls, CO calls, Hero raises, SB 3-bets, BB folds, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero caps, SB calls, UTG calls, CO calls.

Flop: Q 9 9 (17SB, 4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero raises, SB calls, UTG calls, CO calls.

Turn: 5 (12.5BB, 4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, CO checks, Hero bets, SB calls, UTG calls, CO calls.

River: K (16.5BB, 4 players)
SB bets, UTG calls, CO calls, Hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: 20.5BB
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KoRnholio
Old 12-24-2007, 02:08 AM #2 (permalink)  
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 I think I would raise here. That K doesn't change anything unless SB had specifically KK. Most likely he has KQ or AK (with one club) and thinks that K put him ahead.

Who knows what the other 2 are calling or chasing with. One of them could have a scared JT that is afraid of the flush and full house possibilities, but most likely they don't have you bet either.
Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
 
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overflow
Old 12-24-2007, 02:12 AM #3 (permalink)  
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My reasoning was since it was 4way capped pre, KK was a possibility. It occurred to me in retrospect that QQ would have 3bet the flop or at the very least raised the turn. Guess it was a monsters under the bed thing.
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KoRnholio
Old 12-24-2007, 02:40 AM #4 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by overflow
Guess it was a monsters under the bed thing.
It happens to the best of us Did he have KQ or AK?
Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
 
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overflow
Old 12-24-2007, 03:25 PM #5 (permalink)  
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It was the exact combination of hands I could beat, donk lead from SB on the river was AsKs, EP caller had ThTc, LP caller had AdQc. I just didn't think there was any way I could raise over two callers in that spot. Seemed way too likely I was beat.
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