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socal1111
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06-14-2008, 07:03 AM
Post subject: MAX VALUE OR SPEW?
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 191
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Live $40/80.
Villain is VERY GOOD, who usually plays in the $60/120 & $100/200. Very good, tricky... absolutely not ABC, making you think on multiple levels.
I open 9c,9s from CO. Villain 3-towns from SB. I cap.
His range is extremely wide here (especially if he puts me on steal, which I'm sure he does). He's NEVER EVER calling from the SB... only raising/folding.
FLOP (4.5 BB's)
Qh, 5s, 7c
He bets out, I raise, he insta-calls. Not quite sure what the insta-call means, but my instinct is telling my NO Q.
TURN (6.5 BB's)
8h {Qh,5s,7c}
He leads again... I RAISE!
Talk to me-
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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I prefer calling down here. The turn donk after you capped pre and raised his flop donk is very strong. He will never fold a better hand and we will get mauled by sets and two pair hands.
Raising would make sense if he would donk a 6x or FD hand here but if he's doing that he'd probably bet the river again anyways. If you raise he's almost always going to c/f the river UI, so you still only win two bets when you're ahead.
Of course, if he's on a complete bluff raising will just make him fold whereas calling will give him the chance to bluff again on the river.
There may be a few situations where raising gets you value - e.g., he has a pair and a draw and will call down UI, or thinks his AK is good and will call down, etc., but I don't think these arise often enough to make raising correct. It seems more likely he would just c/c these hands down since you've given no indication of being willing to fold.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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euphoricism
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
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I like the flop raise. I call down on the turn. I dont want to put more than 2 bets in on the turn and river. I think you'll end up in a spot where youre putting 3 or more in (he raises, or donks the river too) while behind and 2 in while ahead if you raise turn (he folds)
The trickier a player is, the more straightforward I think you should play him. They have a tendency to out-trick themselves. The one thing a LAG hates is a calling station ;]
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socal1111
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Straight
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 191
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by DrivingDog
I prefer calling down here. The turn donk after you capped pre and raised his flop donk is very strong. He will never fold a better hand and we will get mauled by sets and two pair hands.
Raising would make sense if he would donk a 6x or FD hand here but if he's doing that he'd probably bet the river again anyways. If you raise he's almost always going to c/f the river UI, so you still only win two bets when you're ahead.
Of course, if he's on a complete bluff raising will just make him fold whereas calling will give him the chance to bluff again on the river.
There may be a few situations where raising gets you value - e.g., he has a pair and a draw and will call down UI, or thinks his AK is good and will call down, etc., but I don't think these arise often enough to make raising correct. It seems more likely he would just c/c these hands down since you've given no indication of being willing to fold.
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Initially, I thought of only calling down, but...
I knew that he knew I couldn't check turn thru, due to my aggression... so if he was REALLY that strong, he'd C/R. His lead smelled very weak, and (IMO at the time) was done to slow down, and confuse me, not for value! I wanted to punish his middle pairs and all drws, w/ the ability to take free showdown if needed.
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by socal1111
Initially, I thought of only calling down, but...
I knew that he knew I couldn't check turn thru, due to my aggression... so if he was REALLY that strong, he'd C/R. His lead smelled very weak, and (IMO at the time) was done to slow down, and confuse me, not for value! I wanted to punish his middle pairs and all drws, w/ the ability to take free showdown if needed.
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How does leading and giving you the chance to raise slow you down? If he wants to see a river card cheap he should check and call if you bet. If he wants to confuse you and create some fold equity he should c/r and rep a big hand himself. With all the draws popping up on the turn I think the former is better since you're more likely to put him on a draw.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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socal1111
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Straight
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 191
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by DrivingDog
Quote:
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Originally Posted by socal1111
Initially, I thought of only calling down, but...
I knew that he knew I couldn't check turn thru, due to my aggression... so if he was REALLY that strong, he'd C/R. His lead smelled very weak, and (IMO at the time) was done to slow down, and confuse me, not for value! I wanted to punish his middle pairs and all drws, w/ the ability to take free showdown if needed.
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How does leading and giving you the chance to raise slow you down? If he wants to see a river card cheap he should check and call if you bet. If he wants to confuse you and create some fold equity he should c/r and rep a big hand himself. With all the draws popping up on the turn I think the former is better since you're more likely to put him on a draw.
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Good question. My answer: I don't know!
What I DID know: His turn lead was weak. I was ahead. He was going to put in 2 BB's to see river!
-Your points are all valid, and well thought.
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socal1111
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Straight
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 191
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by euphoricism
I like the flop raise. I call down on the turn. I dont want to put more than 2 bets in on the turn and river. I think you'll end up in a spot where youre putting 3 or more in (he raises, or donks the river too) while behind and 2 in while ahead if you raise turn (he folds)
The trickier a player is, the more straightforward I think you should play him. They have a tendency to out-trick themselves. The one thing a LAG hates is a calling station ;]
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Ok, here are the results:
TURN
He lead, I raised... he only called (smoothly, no hesitation)
RIVER
Qc {Qh,5s,7c,8h}
He checked... and I hesitated, just for a split second (on accident-- very bad)... but I BET!
He immediately RAISED!!
SON-OF-A-!!!!!!!!
My head was screaming at me:
"Fold... you only beat a bluff! Idiot, he outplayed you so badly! Fold! Fold! Fold! Save the bet and the embarassment of getting chumped by a better player! FOLD! FOLD! FOLD!"
My gut was screaming at me:
"Call... go w/ your initial read! He doesn't have a Q, he would've C/R or 3-bet turn w/ Q! Call! Call! You're good, idiot! He's acting from your hesitation, this C/R wasn't planned... DON'T FOLD! DON'T FOLD! DON'T FOLD!"
I sat there for over an hour, ordered a pizza (xtra cheese), split it w/ the table, and then...
As if god, herself, grabbed my left hand... made me pick up eight, $10 chips, and threw them in the pot. "I call," is all I heard come from my mouth.
"Good call!" he said. "TY," as I waited for him to turn his hand over (I wasn't going to move until he did.)
He flipped over Ah,7h --{Qh,5s,7c,8h,Qc} ...wheeeeewwwwww
I CALMLY WALKED TO THE RESTROOM, AND THRU-UP ALL OVER THE SINK!
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