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View Poll Results: I...
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Call
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50.00% |
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Raise
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50.00% |
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Massive Family Pot: Raise the Flop or Not?
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Whale
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11-01-2005, 07:45 PM
Post subject: Massive Family Pot: Raise the Flop or Not?
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#1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Sweden
Posts: 3
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Very, very loose and passive table (VP$IP ~57%, PFR ~0.3%). MP1 is the only aggressive player at the table, but he's also very loose. He's just as bad - if not worse - as the rest of the crowd. He bluffs a lot and he's stuck for a lot of money: he's tilting big time. The rest of the players are all major calling stations. They call down with any two cards from any position regardless of pot size. Knowing this, do you call or raise the flop? A motivation of your answer is much appreciated, but not at all necessary.
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9 , 8 .
UTG calls, 1 fold, UTG+2 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls, 1 fold, CO raises, 1 fold, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+2 calls, MP1 3-bets, Hero calls, CO calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+2 calls.
Flop: (21 SB) 7 , 5 , 2 (7 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+2 checks, MP1 bets, Hero...
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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I'm raising this because calling in this spot sucks.
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Whale
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Sweden
Posts: 3
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
I'm raising this because calling in this spot sucks.
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Okay... WHY does it suck?
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Fnord
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Moderator
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: I'll Do You Like A Truck
Posts: 19,333
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Whale
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Fnord
I'm raising this because calling in this spot sucks.
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Okay... WHY does it suck? 
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Whale
Flop: (21 SB)
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339,061 games 8.161 secs 41,546 games/sec
Board: 7d 5h 2s
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 20.7759 % 19.31% 01.46% { 9s8s }
Hand 2: 13.1892 % 12.41% 00.78% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 3: 13.2795 % 12.47% 00.81% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 4: 13.1565 % 12.36% 00.80% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 5: 13.1886 % 12.39% 00.80% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 6: 13.1558 % 12.34% 00.82% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 7: 13.2546 % 12.46% 00.79% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T8o+, 98o }
It's a big pot and we have an edge. I want to maximize our chances to win it.
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Whale
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Sweden
Posts: 3
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Thanks. I've changed my mind. You're right.
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