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Long HH...with street by street reads...

  
 
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Chopper
Old 09-30-2009, 02:20 PM     Post subject: Long HH...with street by street reads... #1 (permalink)  
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Straight Flush

Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
Chopper
$0.25/$0.5 Limit Holdem
10 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

READ: i enter the pot because of CO. he is loose, but has been aggro preflop the past few hands. however, everyone else has been respecting his raises. i felt i was ahead of his range (59/17/.8), i usually will limp KQo from utg if i decide to play it. i still felt ahead of his raising range, but now BTN cold called? BTN is another TAG (17/5/2.4) that i havent been watching, so i dont have an idea with what he cold calls with or what he will sneak into a pot with.

Stacks:
Hero (18.95)
UTG+1 (14.3)
UTG+2 (9.1)
MP1 (41.95)
MP2 (8.7)
MP3 (21.15)
CO (15.35)
BTN (8.3)
SB (13.85)
BB (15.65)

Pre-Flop: (1.4 SB, 10 players) Hero is UTG
Hero calls, 1 fold, BB says "so how do you like full ring?", Hero says "better", 2 folds, Hero says "but, 6max has helped a lot", 2 folds, CO raises, BTN calls, 2 folds, Hero says "oops....prolly KK again", BB says "sure", Hero calls

Flop: (7.4 SB, 3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets, Hero raises, BB says "there are monsters under your bed", CO folds, BTN calls

FLOP: i intend to c/c here, since i know one of these two will fire. however, when i see BTN bet, i raise to kick CO out of the hand and improve my chances, hoping BTN could be drawing or in there with KT/KT/TT type hands.

Turn: (5.7 BB, 2 players)
Hero bets, BTN raises, Hero says "jeezuz fuggg", Hero calls

TURN: follow up with a bet on the turn since i feel i am ahead AND picked up another 3 outs to give me about 7 in case i am not ahead. the raise? wow. didnt see that coming. what is it? K9? set? bluff? AK? hmmmm. i dont want to get capped, so i only call it since the pot is rather large, and BTN is aggro....increases chances of a bluff.

River: (9.7 BB, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets, Hero calls

RIVER: fairly innocent river, imo. runner runner is unlikely and this didnt complete any obvious draws. so, since he will fire, and i dont want to see a raise, i c/c this river....expecting to win. however, i find 87s?! wow.

Final Pot: 11.7 BB
BTN shows a flush, Jack high


BTN wins 11.2 BB ( won +6.2 BB )

CO lost -1.0 BB
Hero lost -5.0 BB

CONCLUSION: at first, this tilts me. but, in retrospect, i think its a ballsy play that worked out.

what do i like about it? the semibluff that, if hits, has me completely baffled and may get paid a little extra.

what don't i like? the cold call pre in a 3 handed only pot. sure, we have position, but i feel 87s is a little weak still. if it were 4way, i would feel better about it. and, the raise on the turn is bad, imo. is there any way i am folding to him? no. and, he HAS to hit to win it. he has to know he is behind right now with me donking a rather dry board 2 streets.

i really like aggressive play. does anyone else like this, or do you think this guy's play was horribly bad?
LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
 
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LawDude
Old 09-30-2009, 06:16 PM #2 (permalink)  
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Posts: 940
LawDude
I think it's bad, but not terrible.

It's bad because he's cold-calling a raise with 87s without enough players in the pot. I'm also not sure that I like the flop bet-- he's taking a stab that his 8's are good but they are often not.

However (and this may surprise you given our previous discussions), I like the turn raise, not as a semi-bluff (you probably got a piece of the flop or have a straight draw) but as a value bet. He's getting 7 1/2 to 1 on a flush draw on the river (his 2 pair and trips outs are dirty) and he's gonna get paid off if he hits because you aren't likely to fold to a runner-runner flush.
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KoRnholio
Old 09-30-2009, 06:45 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I don't mind his turn raise either. He'll make you think about folding hands like A9/A8/T9, possibly even a weak king. I'm sure people limping hands like K5s UTG isn't all that uncommon, so for all he knows there are top pair-no kicker type hands in your range. And if he is wrong, he usually has 11-14 outs to hit on the river, or can just check behind since you will often check to him.
Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
 
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Chopper
Old 09-30-2009, 07:10 PM #4 (permalink)  
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Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
Chopper
Quote:
Originally Posted by LawDude
I think it's bad, but not terrible.

It's bad because he's cold-calling a raise with 87s without enough players in the pot. I'm also not sure that I like the flop bet-- he's taking a stab that his 8's are good but they are often not.

However (and this may surprise you given our previous discussions), I like the turn raise, not as a semi-bluff (you probably got a piece of the flop or have a straight draw) but as a value bet. He's getting 7 1/2 to 1 on a flush draw on the river (his 2 pair and trips outs are dirty) and he's gonna get paid off if he hits because you aren't likely to fold to a runner-runner flush.
doesnt necessarily surprise me, but i wonder......can YOU make that raise?

i noted him, but don't want to give him a lot of credit, yet, for knowing what he did.

Quote:
Originally Posted by KoRnholio
I don't mind his turn raise either. He'll make you think about folding hands like A9/A8/T9, possibly even a weak king. I'm sure people limping hands like K5s UTG isn't all that uncommon, so for all he knows there are top pair-no kicker type hands in your range. And if he is wrong, he usually has 11-14 outs to hit on the river, or can just check behind since you will often check to him.
i hope he didnt think i would play weak kickers oop like that. but, you are right, it isnt that uncommon to see.

actually, i DO hope he thought that. he will call down with K9 more often if he does think like that.
LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.

Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
 
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LawDude
Old 09-30-2009, 07:16 PM #5 (permalink)  
Full House

Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
LawDude
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chopper
Quote:
Originally Posted by LawDude
I think it's bad, but not terrible.

It's bad because he's cold-calling a raise with 87s without enough players in the pot. I'm also not sure that I like the flop bet-- he's taking a stab that his 8's are good but they are often not.

However (and this may surprise you given our previous discussions), I like the turn raise, not as a semi-bluff (you probably got a piece of the flop or have a straight draw) but as a value bet. He's getting 7 1/2 to 1 on a flush draw on the river (his 2 pair and trips outs are dirty) and he's gonna get paid off if he hits because you aren't likely to fold to a runner-runner flush.
doesnt necessarily surprise me, but i wonder......can YOU make that raise?

i noted him, but don't want to give him a lot of credit, yet, for knowing what he did.

Quote:
Originally Posted by KoRnholio
I don't mind his turn raise either. He'll make you think about folding hands like A9/A8/T9, possibly even a weak king. I'm sure people limping hands like K5s UTG isn't all that uncommon, so for all he knows there are top pair-no kicker type hands in your range. And if he is wrong, he usually has 11-14 outs to hit on the river, or can just check behind since you will often check to him.
i hope he didnt think i would play weak kickers oop like that. but, you are right, it isnt that uncommon to see.

actually, i DO hope he thought that. he will call down with K9 more often if he does think like that.
I have made that raise before. Indeed, I believe I posted a hand on FTR a few months back where I made that EXACT raise (I had A7, hit a 7 on the flop and turned a flush draw). I'll have to dig it out though.
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