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Long HH...with street by street reads...
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Chopper
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09-30-2009, 02:20 PM
Post subject: Long HH...with street by street reads...
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#1 (permalink)
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
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$0.25/$0.5 Limit Holdem
10 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
READ: i enter the pot because of CO. he is loose, but has been aggro preflop the past few hands. however, everyone else has been respecting his raises. i felt i was ahead of his range (59/17/.8), i usually will limp KQo from utg if i decide to play it. i still felt ahead of his raising range, but now BTN cold called? BTN is another TAG (17/5/2.4) that i havent been watching, so i dont have an idea with what he cold calls with or what he will sneak into a pot with.
Stacks:
Hero (18.95)
UTG+1 (14.3)
UTG+2 (9.1)
MP1 (41.95)
MP2 (8.7)
MP3 (21.15)
CO (15.35)
BTN (8.3)
SB (13.85)
BB (15.65)
Pre-Flop: (1.4 SB, 10 players) Hero is UTG 
Hero calls, 1 fold, BB says "so how do you like full ring?", Hero says "better", 2 folds, Hero says "but, 6max has helped a lot", 2 folds, CO raises, BTN calls, 2 folds, Hero says "oops....prolly KK again", BB says "sure", Hero calls
Flop: (7.4 SB, 3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets, Hero raises, BB says "there are monsters under your bed", CO folds, BTN calls
FLOP: i intend to c/c here, since i know one of these two will fire. however, when i see BTN bet, i raise to kick CO out of the hand and improve my chances, hoping BTN could be drawing or in there with KT/KT/TT type hands.
Turn: (5.7 BB, 2 players)
Hero bets, BTN raises, Hero says "jeezuz fuggg", Hero calls
TURN: follow up with a bet on the turn since i feel i am ahead AND picked up another 3 outs to give me about 7 in case i am not ahead. the raise? wow. didnt see that coming. what is it? K9? set? bluff? AK? hmmmm. i dont want to get capped, so i only call it since the pot is rather large, and BTN is aggro....increases chances of a bluff.
River: (9.7 BB, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets, Hero calls
RIVER: fairly innocent river, imo. runner runner is unlikely and this didnt complete any obvious draws. so, since he will fire, and i dont want to see a raise, i c/c this river....expecting to win. however, i find 87s?! wow.
Final Pot: 11.7 BB
BTN shows a flush, Jack high

BTN wins 11.2 BB ( won +6.2 BB )
CO lost -1.0 BB
Hero lost -5.0 BB
CONCLUSION: at first, this tilts me. but, in retrospect, i think its a ballsy play that worked out.
what do i like about it? the semibluff that, if hits, has me completely baffled and may get paid a little extra.
what don't i like? the cold call pre in a 3 handed only pot. sure, we have position, but i feel 87s is a little weak still. if it were 4way, i would feel better about it. and, the raise on the turn is bad, imo. is there any way i am folding to him? no. and, he HAS to hit to win it. he has to know he is behind right now with me donking a rather dry board 2 streets.
i really like aggressive play. does anyone else like this, or do you think this guy's play was horribly bad?
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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I think it's bad, but not terrible.
It's bad because he's cold-calling a raise with 87s without enough players in the pot. I'm also not sure that I like the flop bet-- he's taking a stab that his 8's are good but they are often not.
However (and this may surprise you given our previous discussions), I like the turn raise, not as a semi-bluff (you probably got a piece of the flop or have a straight draw) but as a value bet. He's getting 7 1/2 to 1 on a flush draw on the river (his 2 pair and trips outs are dirty) and he's gonna get paid off if he hits because you aren't likely to fold to a runner-runner flush.
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KoRnholio
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,165
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I don't mind his turn raise either. He'll make you think about folding hands like A9/A8/T9, possibly even a weak king. I'm sure people limping hands like K5s UTG isn't all that uncommon, so for all he knows there are top pair-no kicker type hands in your range. And if he is wrong, he usually has 11-14 outs to hit on the river, or can just check behind since you will often check to him.
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Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
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Chopper
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: St. Louis, MO
Posts: 4,255
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
I think it's bad, but not terrible.
It's bad because he's cold-calling a raise with 87s without enough players in the pot. I'm also not sure that I like the flop bet-- he's taking a stab that his 8's are good but they are often not.
However (and this may surprise you given our previous discussions), I like the turn raise, not as a semi-bluff (you probably got a piece of the flop or have a straight draw) but as a value bet. He's getting 7 1/2 to 1 on a flush draw on the river (his 2 pair and trips outs are dirty) and he's gonna get paid off if he hits because you aren't likely to fold to a runner-runner flush.
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doesnt necessarily surprise me, but i wonder......can YOU make that raise?
i noted him, but don't want to give him a lot of credit, yet, for knowing what he did.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by KoRnholio
I don't mind his turn raise either. He'll make you think about folding hands like A9/A8/T9, possibly even a weak king. I'm sure people limping hands like K5s UTG isn't all that uncommon, so for all he knows there are top pair-no kicker type hands in your range. And if he is wrong, he usually has 11-14 outs to hit on the river, or can just check behind since you will often check to him.
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i hope he didnt think i would play weak kickers oop like that. but, you are right, it isnt that uncommon to see.
actually, i DO hope he thought that. he will call down with K9 more often if he does think like that.
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LHE is a game where your skill keeps you breakeven until you hit your rush of random BS.
Nothing beats flopping quads while dropping a duece!
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LawDude
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Full House
Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 940
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Chopper
Quote:
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Originally Posted by LawDude
I think it's bad, but not terrible.
It's bad because he's cold-calling a raise with 87s without enough players in the pot. I'm also not sure that I like the flop bet-- he's taking a stab that his 8's are good but they are often not.
However (and this may surprise you given our previous discussions), I like the turn raise, not as a semi-bluff (you probably got a piece of the flop or have a straight draw) but as a value bet. He's getting 7 1/2 to 1 on a flush draw on the river (his 2 pair and trips outs are dirty) and he's gonna get paid off if he hits because you aren't likely to fold to a runner-runner flush.
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doesnt necessarily surprise me, but i wonder......can YOU make that raise?
i noted him, but don't want to give him a lot of credit, yet, for knowing what he did.
Quote:
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Originally Posted by KoRnholio
I don't mind his turn raise either. He'll make you think about folding hands like A9/A8/T9, possibly even a weak king. I'm sure people limping hands like K5s UTG isn't all that uncommon, so for all he knows there are top pair-no kicker type hands in your range. And if he is wrong, he usually has 11-14 outs to hit on the river, or can just check behind since you will often check to him.
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i hope he didnt think i would play weak kickers oop like that. but, you are right, it isnt that uncommon to see.
actually, i DO hope he thought that. he will call down with K9 more often if he does think like that.
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I have made that raise before. Indeed, I believe I posted a hand on FTR a few months back where I made that EXACT raise (I had A7, hit a 7 on the flop and turned a flush draw). I'll have to dig it out though.
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