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Laying down a flush (opps I did it again)

  
 
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Fnord
Old 03-06-2005, 01:44 AM     Post subject: Laying down a flush (opps I did it again) #1 (permalink)  
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MP2 is unknown
MP3 is loose/passive

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Fnord is BB with 3, 4.
UTG calls, 3 folds, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, 2 folds, SB completes, Fnord checks.

Flop: (5 SB) 6, 9, 6 (5 players)
SB checks, Fnord checks, UTG checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks.

Turn: (2.50 BB) 7 (5 players)
SB checks, Fnord bets, UTG folds, MP2 raises, MP3 3-bets, SB folds, Fnord folds...
 
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Old 03-06-2005, 01:45 AM #2 (permalink)  
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I would call this down still.

Also, I might bet the flop.
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Fnord
Old 03-06-2005, 01:48 AM #3 (permalink)  
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If I bet the flop I must call this down because of the larger pot.

I thought it was close, but at 3BB+ to showdown I'm not liking my chances.
 
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ArcticKnight
Old 03-06-2005, 05:03 AM #4 (permalink)  
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odd that both Mp2 and MP3 checked the flop
Gone golfing ..see ya in the Fall of 2006
PS. What did the snail on the turtle's back say?
Wheeeeeeeee........
 
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RiverMonkey
Old 03-07-2005, 12:23 AM #5 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArcticKnight
odd that both Mp2 and MP3 checked the flop
A whole variety of holdings/variables could explain the checking.

FLOP
There may be some premium off-suit high card hands like AQ or AK, or good flush draws, or the A-of-spades+X, or pocket nines, busted 4-flush draws, str8 draws, etc, etc, or... higher flush draws, and also a possible slow-playing full house.

TURN
Fnord's holding a baby-flush which doesn't hold up to many of his opponents' likely holdings. Given the action & the board, he folded. Likely a very good laydown.

Why call down?? ... both MP2 & MP3 seem to like their hands quite a bit, let them call each other down ... save your $$, choose better spots than this to invest it.

BUT, you need to have the correct reads to say this with confidence:

o you have somewhat rational, decent opponents
o you know that they aren't tricky/aggro, bumping you off your best hands etc.) (esp. true in lower limits - what limit was it?)
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Trikflow77
Old 03-07-2005, 12:29 AM #6 (permalink)  
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the real logic behind this laydown is that he is not closing the action here and is exposed to a cap plus mulitple bets on the river. I can see why he would fold here, paying a lot of bets caught up in a raising war with a low flush.

Most of the time when I lay down flushes is is because the board pairs, but I have fold a couple of times with low suited cards in situations like this.
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RiverMonkey
Old 03-07-2005, 12:40 AM #7 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trikflow77
the real logic behind this laydown is that he is not closing the action here and is exposed to a cap plus mulitple bets on the river.

I can see why he would fold here, paying a lot of bets caught up in a raising war with a low flush.
Excellent points & well put!

It's a risky current-investment that also suffers from reverse implied odds.
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Chicago_Kid
Old 03-09-2005, 04:21 AM #8 (permalink)  
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Also given that MP3 is L-P, a three bet on this turn would be extra scary.
"Been gone so long, forgot how to poker"
 
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Grand_MasterB
Old 03-09-2005, 08:20 PM #9 (permalink)  
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I think its a nice laydown. If you know you are beat might as well. I once laid down an Ace high flush when the board paired on the river in a 5/10 game at FT with a pro at my table (he wasnt in the hand) to save one bet at the end. The other guy was so impressed he showed me his full house out of respect. The pro also gave me praise on my play.

limit is about saving a bet here or there while still winning pots... it all adds up
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Fnord
Old 03-09-2005, 08:27 PM #10 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grand_MasterB
limit is about saving a bet here or there while still winning pots... it all adds up
Dropping pots to bad laydowns adds up faster. I recall a story about a cocktail waitress and a fur coat...
 
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Grand_MasterB
Old 03-09-2005, 08:51 PM #11 (permalink)  
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so when i know that the other guy filled up i should still call? even though i know i am beat? i was clear that he had trips by the way the betting was between me and him the hole way. dont have the HH but it was something like this between me and him...although i believe there was one other person in preflop

Preflop:
I raise with my AJ suited
He makes it 3 bets with what i figure is a mid to high pair since he is a solid player
i call

Flop

2 small hearts and a q of another suit

he checks to me
i bet my draw (and maybe hoping him for AK but doubting it)
he raises me (now i figure him for an overpair or a set of queens)
i call trying to hit the turn

Turn... 8 of hearts
he hesitates a bit then checks
i bet my nut flush
he hesitates before deciding to call

River

Pairs one of the small hearts on the flop
Now he leads into me again
I fold

when he lead into me on the river after giving up the lead on the turn when the flush card came i knew he had me beat bc he was a very solid player
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Trikflow77
Old 03-09-2005, 08:59 PM #12 (permalink)  
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No way i fold the nut flush for one bet on the river. WEAK, call it every time. fnords hand he would have had to call several bets with a low flush, which could be beat my another spade on the river/boat/higher flush. For one bet heads up dont fold the nut flush when the board pairs.
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Room
Old 03-09-2005, 09:18 PM #13 (permalink)  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Grand_MasterB
when he lead into me on the river after giving up the lead on the turn when the flush card came i knew he had me beat bc he was a very solid player
im never sure when im doing these math problems right, but ill give it a try and hopefully someone can correct me if im wrong.

his bet on the river puts 8 BB in the pot, you need to call 1BB to win 8. therefore you are getting 8:1 on your money. i would think you have to be about 88% sure you are beat here to lay down the nut flush. In other words, if you had to make this decision 8 times, and he beats you 7/8 times and you win 1/8 times, you will break even on this bet. so mathematically, if you feel that confident in your read, folding is correct.

(Please correct my math/thought process if its completely out of wack!)
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Fnord
Old 03-10-2005, 12:43 AM #14 (permalink)  
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Quite often the pot is bigger than that. Particularly if you're playing a nice and fishy table. So you can be 90% sure you're beat and STILL have to pay it off.
 
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Fnord
Old 03-12-2005, 02:49 AM #15 (permalink)  
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It SUCKS when this is the highlight of your session...

UTG+1 is the table idiot.
MP3 is a tight/passive fisherman among fishermen.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Fnord is UTG with J, Q.
Fnord calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, CO raises, 1 fold, SB calls, BB calls, Fnord calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (16 SB) 5, 3, 4 (8 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Fnord bets, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 folds, MP3 raises, CO folds, SB folds, BB calls, Fnord 3-bets, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds, MP3 calls, BB calls.

Turn: (14.50 BB) 5 (4 players)
BB checks, Fnord bets, UTG+1 raises, MP3 3-bets, BB folds, Fnord folds, UTG+1 caps, MP3 calls.

River: (23.50 BB) T (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP3 bets, UTG+1 calls.

Final Pot: 25.50 BB
 
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Demiparadigm
Old 03-12-2005, 03:30 AM #16 (permalink)  
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But you had an inside straight draw too!
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Fnord
Old 03-15-2005, 01:01 PM #17 (permalink)  
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Results:
Hand 1: MP2 had A 7 MP3 had T 8
Hand 2: UTG+1 had 5 9 MP3 had 3 3

Laydowns hard.
 
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