Originally Posted by sinky

Pretty much what I cam up with. Interestingly the T on the turn gives us a gutshot but our equity actually decreases (assuming he hasn't already folded TT).

His range was probably even a little tighter. And if he was paying attention he would know that I am not 3 betting very often against a tight utg raise. I suspect he had AJ or AQ and feared I had at least AK. Of course he may have been waiting to check raise the turn with a badly played monster.

Originally Posted by Knytestorme

I like the rr pre, likely gets us heads up and gives us a better read either way. If someone caps behind us we know we're playing for set value while depending on if UTG caps or calls we now have info on their likely holdings.

Flop requires a c-bet when checked to, that's a no-brainer really. His call doesn't really tell us anything since he could be waiting for the turn to c/r us and get an extra bb from us rather than a sb or he could be as afraid of the A/K as we are.

Turn is where the mistake is made I think. I'd be betting this turn when checked to again as we can fold to a rr...the problem with the check behind when in position is that it turns our hand face up essentially and shwo's we're afraid of the A/K out there and are trying to get to a cheap showdown. This leads to...

The river, villain is now aware we're scared of the board and since the river is essentially a brick they can now lead out knowing that if you were scared of getting played back on the turn then you likely can't call here.

Some boards just have to be mutli-barreled since so many people will now float an A-high flop in a rr pot just to see what happens on the turn and they are hoping to see a line like yours in this hand.

Originally Posted by DrivingDog

Fold preflop. You're behind his UTG open-raising range and someone behind you could have an even better hand.

Originally Posted by socal1111

That's just RIDICULOUS!!! AKs, AK, AQ, AQs, TT, is in his range, and "worrying" that you're beat behind when you're holding JJ is plain scared poker.

NEVER FOLDING JJ PREFLOP!!!!!!

On the flop... totally different story.

Originally Posted by DrivingDog

Even if you think a guy with a pfr of 9 opens that wide a range from UTG 10-handed, then you are behind with JJ...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

97,601,328 games 0.011 secs 8,872,848,000 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.124% 52.08% 01.04% 50831296 1018733.00 { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 1: 46.876% 45.83% 01.04% 44732566 1018733.00 { JcJd }

Originally Posted by DrivingDog

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 53.124% 52.08% 01.04% 50831296 1018733.00 { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }
Hand 1: 46.876% 45.83% 01.04% 44732566 1018733.00 { JcJd }

Originally Posted by DrivingDog

e.g., flop comes T73 rainbow. You c-bet and he c/rs. You can't be happy about your chances here, but now the pot is big and you may feel compelled to call down.