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I call turn because I wanna bluff the river (25PLO)

  
 
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donkbee
Old 07-08-2010, 05:46 AM     Post subject: I call turn because I wanna bluff the river (25PLO) #1 (permalink)  
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Villain is loose preflop, raising and 3betting a lot. I had played a pot with the him recently where I opened AAxx, he 3bet me, and then he flatted my 4bet with 7T9J. I pushed a T hi flop and he called with TP and a gutshot.

In this hand I could not figure out what he could be raising for value on the turn. Does he have something like a set plus a flush draw?

I called with the intention of betting safe rivers because I since I have JJ, he rarely has JT. Is that a reasonable way to think, or do I need a read that he bluff raises post flop for this to be ok?

PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

UTG ($27.05)
MP ($32.97)
Button ($32.65)
Hero (SB) ($47.10)
BB ($25)

Preflop: Hero is SB with J, 4, J, A
3 folds, Hero bets $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50) 9, K, A (2 players)
Hero bets $1.20, BB calls $1.20

Turn: ($3.90) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $3, BB raises to $9, Hero calls $6

River: ($21.90) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $15



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Originally Posted by Fnord View Post
Why poker fucks with our heads: it's the master that beats you for bringing in the paper, then gives you a milkbone for peeing on the carpet.
 
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daven
Old 07-08-2010, 08:43 AM #2 (permalink)  
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So, villain is a station fish and he's raising turn with a range that beats you. Turn seems a prety standard fold cos planning to bluff shove rivers seems kinda gross and he has the hand you're trying to rep at least some of the time
 
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drmcboy
Old 07-08-2010, 04:15 PM #3 (permalink)  
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I would just c/f the turn. He doesn't need JT to call here BvB plus when he raises the turn he has JT a lot. When he raises turn I would expect he has a pair with a draw or two pair with maybe a gutter

OTR as played he's never giving you JT because you didn't jam the turn so he'll probably call with most Aces Up hands.

Blockers imo are a good reason to bluff once into boards that you might normally just c/f like it comes 986 two tone and you have AA77. But to me making a big play here just because we have JJ is like people saying they never fold KK pre flop because you only see aces 1/220 or whatever it is. Sure it's rare, but when you get raised on the turn on this board (or 4 bet pre flop), it's a lot more often than 1/220.
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donkbee
Old 07-08-2010, 04:23 PM #4 (permalink)  
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haha I was pretty sure it was bad. Thanks!



Quote:
Originally Posted by Fnord View Post
Why poker fucks with our heads: it's the master that beats you for bringing in the paper, then gives you a milkbone for peeing on the carpet.
 
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