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Hermann the Lombard
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11-16-2007, 04:14 PM
Post subject: Folding for one bet on the river
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#1 (permalink)
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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PokerStars 0.10/0.20 Hold'em (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 , A. Hero posts a blind of $0.10.
UTG calls, 1 fold, MP1 calls, 1 fold, Hero (poster) checks, 1 fold, SB completes, BB raises, UTG calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls, SB calls.
Flop: (10 SB) 5, J, T (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls, MP1 folds.
Turn: (6.50 BB) A (3 players)
BB bets, UTG raises, Hero calls, BB folds.
River: (11.50 BB) 8 (2 players)
UTG bets, Hero ...
Villain has been 30/0/0.9 with no real reads. I was confident that he had me beaten, but I'd be folding for one bet on the river in a big (12.5BB) pot. I only have to be wrong about 8% of the time to make calling correct. Thoughts?
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DrivingDog
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Full House
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: UK
Posts: 923
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Once you raise the turn it's pretty clear you have TP or better. When he donks the river you are toast. Against someone with a low AF at low stakes i would puke-fold this without a second thought. He has two pair and is planning a b/f if you have AJ, etc. but you don't so might as well fold.
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"You can fool some of the people all of the time, and those are the ones you want to concentrate on." (George Bush).
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euphoricism
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4-of-a-Kind
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Your place or my place
Posts: 3,610
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he didnt raise the turn, he overcalled UTG's raise.
I think you can fold this. He's not an aggressive player, and he's put in a raise. Take it at face value when you have nothing else to go on. He has top pair no kicker beat.
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bigspenda73
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Straight Flush
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pwnsylvania
Posts: 7,545
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yea, turn raises are nut/near-nut hands
pretty easy fold
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littleogre
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,344
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A turn raise =2 pair or better the vast majority of the time.
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arborman
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 300
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by bigspenda73
yea, turn raises are nut/near-nut hands
pretty easy fold
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I have added 'won when raised turn' to my popup stats for that exact reason.
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Hermann the Lombard
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Flush
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 270
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To quote Paul Harvey: "...the rest of the story."
River: (11.50 BB) 8 (2 players)
UTG bets, Hero folds.
Final Pot: 11.50 BB
I hesitated--hearing an echo of "one bet on the river"--before clicking "Fold" so I thought I'd see what you all thought. Thanks.
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